J.P.Morgan Global Composite PMI6 Jul 2022 21:50
Global growth accelerates following upturn in China
Key findings
Output expands at fastest pace in four months
New order growth slows and new export business contracts
Business optimism slips to 21-month low
The rate of global economic expansion accelerated to a four- month high in June. The rebound mainly reflected a revival in China, where an easing of COVID lockdowns underpinned a solid return to growth. However, several survey indicators highlighted the ongoing fragility of the global economic upturn. New order growth eased to a near two-year low, international trade declined and business confidence slumped to its lowest since September 2020.
Please note that due to a later-than-usual release date, June manufacturing data for Canada were not available for inclusion in the global numbers.
The J.P.Morgan Global Composite Output Index – produced by J.P.Morgan and S&P Global in association with ISM and IFPSM – posted 53.5 in June, up from 51.3 in May. However, after excluding China from the calculation, the index fell from 53.9 to 53.1, further highlighting how recent volatility in the Chinese economy has impacted global economic trends.
Worldwide manufacturing production returned to growth in June, after back-to-back contractions in April and May. Growth of service sector business activity accelerated to a four-month high. Sub-sector data indicated expansion across the six industries covered by the survey, including returns to growth for the financial services, intermediate goods and investment goods categories. Faster rates of increase were seen in the business services and consumer goods sectors, while growth slowed at consumer services firms.
All 14 of the nations for which Composite Output Index data were available registered expansions in June. Brazil, India and China were the top-three ranked countries. China and Russia returned to growth following recent contractions, and rates of expansion accelerated in Japan, the UK and Brazil. The remaining nations all saw growth decelerations.
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