RE: Re- Altcoins...18 Jan 2023 15:00
Hello Miker
I too have wondered about the possible shape of a successful future QBT and its effect on the overall btc environment.
There has been speculation about for example software leasing to miners, chip design, presumably for licencing to asic manufacturers, and possibly commercial btc mining by QBT itself.
On software leasing I have tried to picture resultant scenarios dependent upon whether the software was made available to a select group of miners or any miner that wanted it. In the latter case, after demonstrable success by the first to take it up, every miner would want it. This though would have the effect of rapidly increasing the global hashrate and consequently the overall mining difficulty iincreasing proportionately, the end result being globally the same numbers of bitcoin being mined as before the software update. This seems to suggest that QBT would have to keep updating the software to allow for the constant increases in difficulty, I am not sure about the practicalities of that. Clearly if the constant upgrades could not be achieved, the miners would still be effectively stuck with using the QBT software, at least unil if/when a better alternative appeared
The question then should be posed, should the software berestricted to select miners? This though would result in bankruptcy among miners that were not among the chosen few,. It would though have the effect of curtailing the global hashrate to some degree and would perhaps make the software leasing concept more sustainable, A higher price could also be asked of the chosen few for such an exclusive agreement. Questions also arise though on the ethics and perhaps the legalities of such an arrangement.
Similar arguments could probably be raised re chips for manufacturers.
As for Quantum Supremacy, I'm not sure that your concerns hold, yes, the other miners would dop out of the equation, but miners are only a part if the btc investment community, and QBT qould simply replace them. QBT with its enhanced capabilities would take over the current miners function, which is essentialy processing transactions into the blockchain and effectively supporting bitcoin and its blockchain, though much more efficiently and cheaply. Btc would remain available to investors, and possibly in a more secure and efficient form and therefore more attractive.
I dont see why btc should be less attractive to investors without the plethora of miners.
Anyway, I must stress that these are just idle musings of mine, I'm sure there is much I may have missed or fail to understand and many will have very different ideas on this.
The potential of QBT is very exciting, but at the same time its success does and will raise issues and problems and opportunities of its own, and maybe its time that they were explored and discussed before we actually get there.