RE: An alternative view20 May 2026 09:50
2. The Margin of Safety (Risk of Your Estimation)Because forecasting the future involves uncertainty, conservative investors apply a Margin of Safety (a percentage reduction) to the final calculated DCF value. This percentage serves as a buffer against miscalculations or unexpected negative events:Low-Risk Companies: A 20% discount is commonly applied for highly stable, cash-generating blue-chip stocks.High-Risk Companies: A 30% to 50% discount should be used for volatile industries, startups, or cyclical businesses.