RE: 12 months is a long time in our SP29 Apr 2026 16:26
Post from ADVFN today:
nawaralsaadi29 Apr '26 - 07:59 - 4693 of 4699
11 0
If you are trading the stock, there will be plenty of volatility. If you are in for the long haul, as they continue to expand their distribution, broaden their product offering, and deepen relationships with major retailers, then sit still, relax and collect the higher dividend while they continue building the foundation for a much larger, highly profitable business.
In my opinion, the valuation is already extremely depressed, and quite reflective of a weak start to 2026. I am loving that they've finally gotten into Germany, and I think India and South America have the potential to be big markets for them considering their low price points. I still see Warpaint positioned for £200m in sales and EBITDA at £45m-£50m by 2030. If the stock sells off here, this would be an excellent opportunity to take a long term position.
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Some helpful additional context from Shore Capital on trading conditions in 2026:
The c£6.5m sales shortfall includes a c.£1.5m loss of sales from Bodycare year-on-year, a c.£2m headwind from the USA, as everyday sales materially struggle even post lower tariffs, coupled with lower sales activity from a number of customers in the UK and EU. However, whilst one swallow does not make a summer, we note a stronger April is reported, with we believe sales ahead by c.£2m YoY. Looking forward from here, the Board states it expects the improved performance to continue through the year “particularly in the second half’, such confidence is underpinned by an anticipated £8m of income from the Barry M acquisition announced as pending in February 2026, further supported by new distribution agreements noting an expected launch with Dirk Rossman in Germany (2,200 store, part of the AS Watson Group), a “significantly improved” Christmas order from Walmart USA, and new markets opened in India and South America (Panama, Argentina and Chile).