RE: .13 Nov 2025 12:10
Sure Doc, what worries me isn’t the project, it’s the psychology on this board.
Every single red flag gets magically inverted into bullish spin:
- Share price down 64% since the MRE? -> “Ignore the chart. Just short-term noise.” (when in reality that overhyped rally into the MRE was more likely the "short-term noise")
- Heavy funding needs ahead? -> “We’re fully financed for now!” (RNS says funded for the drilling program, which isn't even in targets outside the ones in the MRE)
- No clear advanced metallurgy or flow sheet? -> “Metallurgy doesn’t matter yet! We're huge!”
- Third broker added pre-PFS? -> “Institutions incoming!” (rather than seeing the danger that a 3rd broker could have been added to work on a big dilutive financing)
- Titanium market not exactly booming and offtakers' number 1 priority being consistency which the majors that control the industry provide plenty? -> “Doesn’t matter, we’re a unicorn that will disrupt everything!”
It’s the same pattern with every overhyped junior:
anything negative = irrelevant, anything positive = transformational.
Meanwhile the only things that have actually happened:
- A maiden MRE that didn’t change economics, but was overhyped anyway (it was known the scale is large and the rough grades, so hardly the big de-risking step, no finished flow sheet, no offtakers, not even an economic scoping study anywhere close)
- A 64% collapse in valuation
- A rush to add more brokers before any economic clarity exists
And here’s the bit nobody wants to talk about:
Titanium is not a high-growth critical minerals market. Demand is relatively flat, with SOME growth projected into 2030, but nowhere near copper, or rare earths, or any of these other green revolution metals. Majors dominate supply and downstream relationships. Offtake agreements are notoriously hard to secure for juniors, even with conventional feedstock, with Pitfield being an unconventional projects (which is always hyped as huge positive, well, offtakers love conventional & consistent and they already have that).
So when people here say “ignore the share price”, “ignore dilution”, “ignore timelines”, “ignore missing metallurgy pieces”, or “ignore market constraints”…
…ask yourself why everybody except you is ignoring the story altogether.
If this were the world-class breakthrough some believe, the market wouldn’t be valuing it like a penny-dreadful and selling it down every rally.
At some point, you have to stop blaming MMs, charts, shorts, “people not understanding”, or whatever the excuse of the week is.
Why does a supposedly tier-1 discovery trade as if it isn’t?
If you can’t answer that honestly, you’re not analysing...you’re just rationalising.