Member Info for jonesrichard

Leak that RNS coming after hours or 7am tomorrow perhaps?

That really depends on the level of commercialisation, it seems to be generally accepted that 1p + is fair upon confirmation of the trial being a success and the drug being effective enough to be sold around the world, once the selling is ramped up worldwide then who knows how many pence the sp could end up here!

yes indeed, if that turns out to be the case then the sp could go to previously unimaginable heights!

the general consensus seems to be that the parties involved would have been aware of the trial results for a number of days now so if the news was poor then they would just have released today but presumably there are ongoing commercialisation negotiations still ongoing that they want to be able to release in conjunction with the trial resilts, would that be a reasonable assumption to make?

Yes I agree, would like to think somewhere in the 5-10p + range, not long to wait now at least!

"VELA bought interest in AZD in Oct '20 vs Igraine buying in June '21 one month prior to trial completion - why? - because Igraine has invested for a deal with big pharma / biotech rather than on trial results"

https://twitter.com/DShox1/status/1434833838677676032

"Market noting positive indicative language from Igraine this morning, acquired interest only 2 months ago in drug and AZD set to publish results this week"

https://twitter.com/DShox1/status/1434825533217513479

If that is the case then the sp really could end up anywhere!

The thing is I don't usually manage to get in on the 100 + bagger investments, usually something goes wrong and messes everything up but if you are correct in what you say we may have all back a serious winner here!

6p + expected over next couple of days? many seem to feel that the sp could rise 200% + today on the back of todays news?

Indeed, genuine 100 bagger potential here moving forward if and when drug is bought up as quickly as anticipated post the end of this week.

Note that the update today states "no later than 10 September 2021" so the results could be published any day this week!

https://twitter.com/Alexios1201/status/1434799870821421056/photo/1

The key words getting clearance from all stakeholders

You wouldn’t need that if a failure

Lots out there not getting the inter company connection starting with the founder of SGS & his ‘new’ positions"

https://twitter.com/andrew_neal7/status/1434800091169267716

Presumably if the results are as special as anticipated then trading should go straight in auction tomorrow possibly around 0.15 then we should see a new year high shortly after you would imagine! GLA

Yes, minimum x 10 increase in the sp should be seen. Will be a nice new base to start from. AAA went from 0.17 to 53p in a very short space of time, presuming that there were less shares in issue so may be a challenge to match their x 300 increase in sp but this is AIM at the end of the day so who knows!

I'm actually amazed that the sp hasn't moved past 0.15 or even a new year high on the back of that effective confirmation that the trial has been a success and will be commercialised, I guess sometimes people miss what is staring them in the face!

Ok thanks for confirming hydrogen, so it's the Kyalla update that could take the sp into the £'s whereas todays update may be limited to the 50p + range as opposed to straight into the £'s. Either way all looking very promising here for 50p + to be seen next week at some point!

When is the kyalla update due? Thanks

Really does seem like this would be a game changing treatment bearing in mind how many are impacted worldwide, difficult to predict what it could do to the sp here, obviously will depend who takes it but you would imagine that every part of the world will want the treatment available, if that does happen then would like to think that 15-20p + may be achievable at some point here bearing in mind the BODs track record with AAA for example.

Nice analysis there Johnski, everything pointing towards the results being very positive, if the sp settles in the 0.12-0.15 + range by close tomorrow then there may have been a little leak, then again can also be put down to FOMO as commercialisation could easily see the sp move very quickly into the 0.75-1p + region

"From experience I’d say it’ll go back to 0.006-7 on delay."

The most basic lesson from investing is that past performance is not an indication of future performance. Why would there be a delay when the release date for the results has been stated as September 6th?

*Commercialisation

Indeed, positive results without communalisation then hopefully a new year high at least, with communalisation I hope that the assent into the pennys will finally begin in the days and weeks following! 3-5p + would be a lovely base come the end of this year, obviously will all depend on what other magic the BOD can work between now and then!