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It will explode and they know that. But how many will turn up at hospital? The problem, as I see it, is that every infection gives a chance of mutation. There will be increasing escape (there are already variants of Delta causing concern) and at the same time waning protecting. The simple fact that vaccines do not stop the spread means testing is going to be required for the foreseeable future, which is why my shirt is on Novacyt. Well that, and all the bad news is in the price already.
Hi Porky, the vaccines are not making a massive difference to the spread and thus testing requirements. If anything the vaccines are facilitating the testing. I know several people that are double vaccinated and are now infected and isolating. The Israelis data tells you all you need to know. Soon we will be in the winter season, last summer the virus died right down, but this time we are all vaccinated and it is having a field day. Let’s see what the situation is in October, I have placed my bets - as I know you have.
The Israelis are seeing a decline in vaccine protection over a relatively short time, hence they are rolling out booster jabs already. I guess if we dish out antibody tests we can get more data. The Israelis have used Pfizer.