RE: Halving1 Mar 2024 09:05
@Gower like all industries and maybe life, the weak will fade away and the strong will get stronger. The fund holds the most weighting with the strongest miners. Marathon hits it's mining targets but also sets out a new strategy for future growth but the immediacy of the market doesn't like it so it gets hammered and we suffer. Iren 40% dilution recently hammered. On the other hand Cleamspark was $6 a few weeks a go went up to $23.
Take some profit.
These miners are the ultimate BTC proxies on steroids win and lose big, these are not totally BTC correlated. I don't want to own BTC on it's own but I believe in MSTR so I have a large hold and adding position (pca in) as my closest BTC proxy which is a little saner than the miners. I'm not so sure about your belief of the economics of the halving.
With the scramble for BTC, its price increases through scarcity. The reward per block is reduced but the price per coin is increased. The fees that miners get have also increased and will probably carry on in the future. When the weak fall as they do now the hash rate drops, the strong step in and keep the hash rate up and rising. Most of the companies in this fund are going to be the winners because they will have the cheapest sources of energy and highest hash rate.
My biggest fear? is the USA government getting involved with regulation.
The fund is volatile, treat it that way get in and out. If you want to hold something I can't see past MSTR, CLSK and COIN as being safer winners.
GLA