RE: Ineptitude comes to mind!18 Apr 2018 12:45
Fair point re perception but if you look back at that raise with the hindsight of the accounts can see their backs weren't to the wall. End of period they had more than the �15m raised still in the bank. Granted there's nealry �10m of supplier debt that needs covering too but they didn't NEED �15m there and then. Yet they raised it.
Which says a lot about a few things. BOD are ambitious and not prepared to sit back and be reactive waiting for AP101. They have ambition to expand, possibly into something else revenue producing, possibly this year, would make a lot of sense and balance the longer-term development pipeline with increased revenue.
They're different from other bios which lurch from funding milestone to funding milestone, with the backers only releasing funds sufficient to get over the next hurdle. If that was the case they would have had to settle for �10m or maybe �7.5m
At the time of the placing I was annoyed, because BOD was on record saying the EIB loan covered the costs of the EASE programme. However it transpires the EIB loan is only 50% drawn.
Possibly due to the delay a draw-down milestone might also be delayed, this is just speculation, but critically they're not �20m in debt and raising �15m to cover the trial - which is what I had assumed at the time of the placing.
These accounts have changed everything for me, but in the opposite direction to you. Lojuxta is doing better than I had assumed, cash is not as tight as I had assumed, debt is smaller than I had assumed.
The only flies in the works for me, the delay - which has been discussed already and, I maintain, the market had suspected already due to background rumours so was largely priced in anyway; and the removal of the discount for the contingent payment, which doesn't look great on paper for the long term liability but at this stage ahead of AP101 revenues it's just a paper figure.
Meanwhile a massive sell seems to have just cleared. Not sure how long that was being worked. Let's hope that's the end of the seller