RE: Colle Santo documents9 Feb 2024 16:03
I've had a good look at the project, imo it could come to fruition for 2 reasons, a more favourable climate in Italy due to the RvU war and a scaled down project utilising an LNG plant. I see local activism as the main hurdle.
Having said that, I have 2 major concerns. Firstly, LNe extracted an extraordinarily good deal from the chuckle brothers which leaves them with a win (12.5% of rbd shares) even if CS fails, and secondly, the ridiculously optimistic projection of E.11m-12m based on E.45 mwh when gas is currently E27 mwh and falling. Unless there is a major uptick in gas prices, Euro11m pa is just a fantasy.