RE: Petro China devious21 Jul 2025 12:40
Just reposting what I wrote yesterday ;
"So PC bought block 19 ( the next one up from us ) from Soco in 2005, and like our block 20 it's in the Tamsag Basin.
Apparently out of the two, block 19 is the more productive field, with the peak of just over 8 million barrels for 19 and 21 combined being reached in 2015- - it's been tailing off ever since then. After purchasing block 19 from Soco, the number of barrels rose very rapidly each year, particularly from about 2007.
To date the total number of barrels of oil from blocks 19 and 21 combined has been around 82m barrels - so based on our current PSC terms, and with oil at an average of say $67 that would have resulted so far in about $3.5b of gross profit.
When PC bought block 19 for about $145m in today's money, Soco had only been producing 350 bopd from 27 wells. And there was no 3D seismic data when they bought it.
Given that purchasing block 19 from Soco has been a massive success for PC, and was bought at an incredibly low price of $145m in today's money, it's no wonder that they will want to buy block 20. So just $145m to buy block 19, and it's produced so far the largest part of the 80m + barrels of oil from blocks 19 and 21 combined. It's highly likely that block 19 alone has given them so far well over $2b worth of gross profit under their PSC, yet Soco were only extracting 350 bopd !
PC will be well aware that junior oilers are limited in how much they can develop a field - as proven by Soco's efforts - and their drilling and finishing costs for a well are no doubt much lower than those for a junior oil company. "