Advfn13 May 2026 21:12
Nick241213 May '26 - 18:20 - 4566 of 4568
3 0
I thought I would look at the base case valuation for RUA as of today. Bear in mind it's on the extreme side of conservative. It highlights that RUA is still in bargain basement territory given it comes out at between 45p to 53p - that's broadly in line with Cavendish's 50p
Structural Heart stake: about £7m
This reflects the current funded spinout/early-stage value rather than any major clinical-ready upside. Cavendish says the £3m funding should take the mitral valve programme to first-in-human readiness, but at this base stage I am not pricing in that success.
Cash: about £3.2m
RUA Medical Devices/CDMO: about £13m–£16m
Current revenue is around £5.2m. On a conservative 2.5x–3x revenue multiple, that gives roughly £13m–£16m. It’s an overly conservative base case so I have not included the additional anticipated £5m future extra annual revenue from contracts to come as flagged up by the trading update.
RUA Biomaterials: about £5m–£7m
If current royalties are around £700k at roughly 90% margin, that implies c. £630k high-margin profit. A conservative 8x–10x profit multiple gives £5m–£6.3m, with a little allowance for the new contract/audit upside. That’s again extremely conservative given we’ve been told (Hybridan note) current revenues from this source “barely scratch the surface” for “in progress” new licensing opportunities.
So base case valuation:
Structural Heart: £7m
Cash: £3.25m
CDMO: £13m–£16m
Biomaterials: £5m–£7m
Total base valuation: about £28m–£33m.
With around 62m shares in issue, that equates to roughly:
45p–53p per share.
So interestingly, an overly conservative base case (particularly for CDMO) already supports Cavendish’s 50p target, without needing to assume a significant revaluation of Structural Heart yet. Neither does it factor in any additional revenues for CDMO of which a significant amount, if not all, is pretty much nailed on. The £5m extra revenues are of course based on just 60% of current products in development transitioning to multi-year commercial product manufacturing contracts. As noted in the research notes, these are for products that already have regulatory approval or are close to achieving that status.