Boohoo getting ready to explode - here's why vs Next, ASOS, BWNG, Superdry, Ted & QUIZ17 Sep 2020 10:44
The NEXT H1 results are massive for Boohoo
Next SP is up 2.63% on H1 results
https://www.lse.co.uk/rns/NXT/results-for-the-half-year-ending-july-2020-6yghgzj5x4aw2i6.html
Next last year did 3.997B revenue with 854M profit
BUT in H1 their sales from RNS were -33% down with guidance for -12% down on full year - Ouch!
They only made 9M profit H1 - down massivly
In store sales are clearly declining & people are moving online
Boohoo last year was 1.234B revenue with 90M profit
H1 guidance is 25% growth that they will achieve or exceed
Estimated H1 profit should be around 55-60M+
That is a lot more than Next
This is excellent news for Boohoo
I have been looking at the numbers & think 480 is a reasonable target for 6 months time, with an interim SP on 400 approx come Sept 30.
If you look at 2016-2020 numbers they grow 44% to 97% every year without fail.
In 2020 they did 1.234B revenue generating 91M profit.
Extrapolate the growth at 50% (they guide 25% but 44% is the lowest they've done & lets face it Covid will be 50-100%) so a conservative 50% puts Feb 2021 @ 1.85B revenue with 135M profit!
Current Market Cap is 4B would be 6B giving a 480 SP
Compare ASOS who did 2.73B revenue with only 35M profit & now have a 5B Market Cap
Boohoo looks more interesting as multiple brands, better worldwide presence & higher profit than ASOS.
Also through Social media & celebrity endorsements they seem to have better momentum
ASOS is 'only' growing at 13% - 19%
So from this it looks like a 50% gain is achievable in 6 months
We have 9 trading days to buy in at 310-320 for a 25% to 50% gain - be greedy
"be greedy only when others are fearful"
Warren Buffett