Britain poised to sign Indo-Pacific trade deal in Brexit victory29 Mar 2023 21:13
Britain is poised to join an Indo-Pacific trade pact in a significant post-Brexit coup as the economy pivots away from the European Union.
The UK is expected to become the first non-founding member of the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), giving businesses easier access to tens of millions of middle-class consumers and a $10 trillion market.
The accession will be announced as soon as Friday, a source said, with trade ministers expected to meet on Thursday night to sign it off.
As well as bolstering the British economy, the deal would also be a further statement of intent about Britain's determination to play a role on the global stage after signing the Aukus defence pact with the US and Australia.
Stephanie Rickard, professor of political science at the London School of Economics, said: “The UK is trailblazing. This is changing the agreement from being a regional agreement to a global agreement.”
Shanker Singham, a former trade adviser to the Government, said that CPTPP and Britain combined would have an equal economic weight to the European Union - while the structure of the partnership means any attempt to rejoin the EU would become impossible because of clashing regulations between the two blocs.
He said: "Accession would be a huge triumph for UK negotiators, and for the Prime Minister and Secretary of State for Business and International Trade in particular. It would mark the point at which Brexit could not be reversed."
Gerard Lyons, a former adviser to Boris Johnson who is now an economist at Netwealth investment services, said: “This is something that would not have been possible if we were in the EU. Leaving the customs union allows the UK to reposition itself in the changing global economy.
“It clearly makes sense for the UK to position itself in what is likely to be the most dynamic part of the global economy – not just in terms of the countries currently in that region, but also the potential in terms of others during this trading bloc in the future.”
The CPTPP, which was formed in 2018, currently covers 11 countries: Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, and Vietnam.
Members account for 13pc of per cent of world economic output and 15pc of global trade.
William Bain, head of trade policy at the British Chambers of Commerce, said joining the bloc could bring particular opportunities for digital trade, e-commerce and electronic services.
He said that 90pc of growth in the global middle class will be in the Indo-Pacific over the next seven years, giving Britain a significant headstart on European rivals seeking to tap a new mass affluent customer base.
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