Tracey8 Aug 2014 11:09
Good morning! I will hold you to that ha! I have been watching the trades for the last few days and there is definitely a buyer in the background taking all available. Once the over leveraged have sold out this should rise as I think anyone else who wanted to sell out would have already.
The Nickel story is one of the most compelling with this stock with all analysts agreeing the price will rise in 2014 / 2015, even if Indonesia (who exported 20% of worlds Nickel pre ban) begin limited exports later in 2015. With current stock piles dwindling, limited supply and potential for further sanctions on Russia who are a large Nickel exporter, the squeeze on Nickel will begin later this year. As a result the impact on profit for BNC will be huge with each 5% rise in Nickel resulting in approximately 20% increase in profits for BNC. This should be on top of higher production in the second half of 2014 following the increased stockpiles and reduced expenditure on maintenance following the significant expenditure on hardware which was undertaken last quarter.
Gold is more of an uncertainty, however, I feel more comfortable in a stock which will benefit hugely from a gold price increase as I can see a spike as investors move to this safe haven as a result of the increasing number of global geopolitical issues which continue to be unresolved. As a result this makes Mwana a great hedge against falling equities.