Member Info for Fume

ME and oil - I think the way the deal has been crafted leaves little room for any adventures as there are number of influential countries invloved.

For me, the BIG one is Ukraine. I can smell something is cooking.

Zelensky looked happier and confident at the G7 summit.

Now winder Trump team is now trying to jump in to grab the limelight.

I am keeping a good eye on it.

Not sure anyone else watched Robert Peston on the ITV 10 O clock News last night. He was saying that Zeleskey was talking to the Russians behind the scenes and he suspected he was close to a deal with them.

Shorters want your shares cheap.

Quite clear they have hired few posters who have been pumping the same old trick message whole day today - sell now buy back cheap.

If what has been widely speculated, Junior Trump has a$230m Short on the Oil ( opened around $110 Dollars a barrel), I imagine Trump will be looking to floor it to $50 Dollars and below.

The possibility of Iranian Oil also flooding the Oil Market in the coming weeks, this can be a real possibility in my opinion.

I also believe Ukraine war will be settled sooner rather than later.

Russia knows with Trump in full power before the mid terms, it is their best moment to grab a favourable end.

War cannot go on forever. What you might be winning today, you could lose it in the future.

Looking for a new keyboard!

Apologies for the typos in the last post.

Let’s see I. Few minutes how the Oil Market responds to it.

White smoke spotted coming out of White House

Deal done - signing now to be done on 19th in Geneva.

All hostilities ended

Assume SOH also opened

We have not had 150 - 200 points increase for a long while. I think cycle is overdue. If the oil falls below 80, I think it will be very much on the cards.

Well on this share, Shorts are providing the most likely scenario on the 11th, reduction of circa 6% in space of couple of weeks. I don't think ChatGPT has taken a note of this.

At least 83% hedged at 749 usd or lower to end of March and at least 58% hedged for next financial year also at 749 usd. Chance to incraese prices as well as part of general rise in oil prices to cover some of Middle East flight losses.

Small beer in my view and also expected. All due to orange buffoon.

I reckon, there will be a ceasefire at the weekend. The orange buffoon will be told to save his face as he cannot win this war and try and get back to the negotiation table. Türkiye and Germany are already pushing for ceasefire. My only worry is that Iran may try and drag this longer for a stronger negotiation position as they have the Americans by their balls and China might also be cheering them on behind the scenes also to teach America a lesson.

Yanks jinxed all the markets today by heavy selling, all of sudden just before European close.

Russia will most probably end the war whilst Trump is in the office as they cannot take any chance on mid -terms in America and he he is forced out. Russia will get the most favourable deal whilst Trump is in the office. So my guess is that deal will be done by around June time if not sooner.

Stan36 is right.

Impact of Shorts is already reflected in the price.

If they want to bring down the price, they have to put fresh monies on the table.

For what's it worth, my prediction is open at 1203, shorter to drag it down to 1180 before bouncing back and closing at around 1260 mark. This will leave many shorter red faced and wondering what to do next.

Unless there is a nasty in the outlook or the numbers that is not already out.

Thanks Frank. Not sure sure what the Germans are up to! TUI is also down. It may be more of a wider market sentiment related.

Frank, what's the link for German pre-market? Thanks

Broker ratings have inverse meanings

When they say Sell - they are buying it

When they say Buy - they are selling it