RE: Shallower oil water contact, low probability.15 Jun 2020 07:30
" How is that explained?" - Very simply. The water cut on one well has been on an increasing trend from day one of producion, give or take. Dr Trice's seeming inability to engage openly and honestly with third parties about water cut is the main reason in my opinion why he has gone. He's professionally damaged goods now. I think it all started as a "let's hope for the best and paint a rosy picture" scenario. Which Trice has been unable to back track from as water cut got steadily worse and worse. An early acceptance that he may have been wrong all along about the water would have gone a long way towards keeping the stock price half sensible. But the market knew something was going wrong. Crew on rotation is one obvious source of real life information. There's many others. So, once it became obvious that those in the market that profit such things could trash the company value, there was nothing to stop them. Myself, I think Trice - on the thin public evidence we have - has been telling half truths here. He's been hoping things would get better. They haven't. Professionals do not do that. So he's gone.