RE: Debenhams - Thoughts as a customer15 Dec 2024 11:42
Hexam,
I think your 0.25-0.5x GMV for Debs is too low. Its GMV grew 170% in last six months and it is projected to be a double digit EBITDA margin business.
I think we should be looking three years ahead when valuing it and I anticipate it being a £1bn GMV business if it can continue these growth rates. If it gets 10% EBItDa in 3yrs, that is £100m in EBITDA. A assuming no debt, a 7x 2028 EV/EBITDA multiple would give it a £700m valuation. That is 2x trailing GmV.