Summary27 Apr 2018 16:02
My thoughts on the whole positive with a few negatives...
Part one.
6.23 cash 2.7 net receivables. POSITIVE and as many have predicted.
FARM OUT. We expect to conclude this agreement, which is subject among other conditions to shareholder approval, early in the second half of 2018.... The AGM will be held in London on 11 July 2018 POSITIVE delayed to allow completion.
Planning to acquire 3D seismic, with the objective of fast-tracking potential development opportunities. Production from any discoveries in this area could be tied back to the Songo Songo Island Gas Processing Plant relatively quickly and economically. POSITIVE
On 11 April 2018, Aminex received formal notification from the TPDC of certain claims amounting to US$5.97 million for liabilities arising on revenues from gas sales, of which Aminex's share is estimated to be $2.73 million. NEGATIVE however this is negated by the following outlook. Aminex has advised the TPDC that it does not accept the claims which include computational inaccuracies. No further provision has been made in the financial statements for the additional amounts claimed as the Directors believe the claims are without merit and are satisfied that the US$6.94 million included in trade receivables as owing from the TPDC will be fully recovered. POSITIVE.
Aminex has been reviewing different funding options and is currently working on a farm-out of part of the Group's interest in the Ruvuma PSA to an affiliate of the Zubair Corporation, as previously announced. The Company expects to receive an extension to the Mtwara Licence, possibly until January 2020, during which time the development licence for Ntorya is expected to be finalised. POSITIVE at first but the final sentance is NEGATIVE in that the dev licence could take until Jan 2020. I don't see that myself but the words used allows for it!
The success of the Ntorya-2 appraisal well and the subsequent work on the basin model has led to a significant increase in the independently ascribed resources for Ntorya, which justifies Aminex's commitment to the region over the years. The resource potential should be commercially viable with increasing national demand in Tanzania coupled with the proximity of the National Gas Gathering System "enabling near-term production from the field". POSITIVE. Near term production.
Early production options could provide revenues from Ntorya for the Group within the next two years UNSURE, I would have liked to have seen earlier revenues.
Aminex is also seeking to expand cash-generating operations on the Kiliwani North Development Licence through the development of a newly-identified lead, Kiliwani South. If proved successful, this lead's proximity to the Songo Songo Island gas processing plant would enable the Company to generate revenues from two separate projects in Tanzania. POSITIVE The more revenue sources the better.