RE: Tomorrow's SP20 Jun 2022 13:19
Option Exercise related updates from Shaun:
Excerpts from Proactive Results Interview - 28 Apr 2022
- We continue to walk forward with that and at some stage an independent valuer will likely be appointed to come in (i.e. go to final arbitration stage) and I think that is months away rather than years away from being resolved
Excerpts from The Sunday Roast Podcast - 10 May 2022
- Now, time will tell as there’s an independent expert we expect to be appointed shortly but I think we’ll deal with that and show this compounding average growth rate for this asset which I think is going to be quite spectacular
- No definitive timeframe in the JV agreement, having said that the relationship is good and strong and engaging between NCM and GGP
Excerpts from GGPHelp Interview with Liam - Part 2 - 09 June 2022
- Yeah, look, thanks Liam and chatted around this off-air, just that we're somewhat restricted around the confidentiality agreement so I am a little bit more restricted in my comments than I'd otherwise choose to be.
- But I think what we can say is, yes, since this has been initiated, we're closer to the end than the beginning of the process, which is really encouraging.
- Chief amongst that was we were undertaking a funding process , but that was still absolutely critical to understanding the value at that point in time of Havieron. And of course, with the passage of time, the value of Havieron continues to grow and increase. (note: he is talking about reasons for the GGP MRE being both for funding purposes but also the option exercise and creating their own valuation)
- And to some extent, it's a shame that the feasibility study won't be out by the time this is determined, because I think that will be another positive mark to showing the growth of the asset. But it continues to grow. But this is a snapshot in time and we have thoroughly prepared around that.
Some assumptions I have come too from the above and otherwise:
By May 2022 Shaun was stating that arbitration commencement looking likely so we may have entered it by now or soon be doing so as Shaun states in the 2nd part of the interview with Liam 2 weeks ago that we're closer to the end of the process than the beginning, he could also mean negotiations concluding in place of arbitration but was signposting arbitration back in May being likely.
In the interview a fortnight ago he also states that the FS won't be out by the time 'this' is determined so is that the option exercise and/or the funding. Not sure but we know the FS is due from Oct to Dec 2022.
I do know SRK created the Kharmatagai valuation within 2 months so I assume a 3rd party could come to their own assumption about a FMV for Havieron and review both parties valuation's in a few months and come to a conclusion on which is closer to FMV and forms the price tag. NCM then either buys or doesn't over 30 days, the purpose of the framework is to ensure negotiations conclude vs running on and on.