SD will not sell Hav out9 Oct 2021 20:25
SD has made it clear. He wants to create a multi billion dollar multi asset company. You don't achieve that by selling out your only asset that is likely to go into production in the next couple of years.
"But, but, but he could invest the funds from the sales into progressing other assets"" Yes he could, but that won't achieve what everyone wanting the asset to be sold want it to achieve. The cash from the asset would not be distributed as a special dividend. A special dividend would leave GGP without the asset, or the funds from it. GGP would see the same net result from just giving Hav to Newcrest.
We don't even know how big Hav is going to be and thats the key thing.
"Oh well then just get a royalty as part of the sale" That makes no sense. Why would Newcrest agree to buy the remaining 25/30% so they have 100% and then agree to give a percentage of it back as a royalty.
The only way that makes any sense is for GGP to be bought out completely. And because we have so many other assets as well Newcrest wouldn't give us full value for those, as they wouldn't be able to justify it to their shareholders, and GGP wouldn't sell it for reduced value, as they wouldn't be able to justify it to their shareholders.
That said £2 a share, valuing the whole of GGP at £8.2billion would be acceptable to me