RE: DGR19803 May 2018 11:58
Take scotts profit of �72 a share for the life of the mine.
Divide by the estimated life of the mine (30 years), �2.40 per share per year, assuming immediate ramp up to full production.
Working on 10% of value, similar to how SXX has been valued against whats in the ground, that assumes 3 years so �7.20 as a top end.
Deduct an appropriate percentage for being based in a country that has had IMF in to deal with debts and corruption.
Consider also that there is also the chance of a take it, or go into production diluted to only 18% of the site in 5 years with Glencore paying the costs.
The final two are where the range comes in.
Also natural pessimism comes in when for me when people are talking about 90 - 100 bags.