RE: Re action etc..31 Aug 2019 10:38
Good morning John, there is plenty of debt and yes I think they are likely to need to raise more to money to settle the outstanding August 2020 commitment. Senior Unsecured Debt in REA's case.
Overall it's an interesting issue that many investors, PI's, haven't and don't consider. In my opinion.
There's a process going on out there which has "big money" moving away from listed stocks to having a broader portfolios. They've embraced corporate debt as well as private businesses. One of the reason you see a decade long fall in the number of companies on public listed exchanges, with the exception of Asia. Delisting is speeding up in the West.
At the same time you see a more "acquisitive" stance from bond holders. Where highly leveraged asset rich companies get taken into the hands of bond holders once they default. I'm not saying this applies to REA as such, but it is an interesting business with an asset they've stopped making. Land.
It's just another thing to consider when stock picking.
The belief that shareholders are sovereign should be dismissed and an analysis of the intentions of bond holders should be included. They win assets, shareholders get a bonfire of confetti on defaults.
As of today REA's August 2020's offer a nearly 15% return if they mature.
It's a small position for me, so I haven't done a ton of DD, but I might out of interest explore how much of the 40,000,000 is outstanding. It they do need more cash, my guess is on local, non sterling. The rate they pay is the hand of the gods. Cancelling the Pref. div. and the discount to par on the debt might be a message yet.
Interesting business. Interesting few months ahead.
Bloomberg has a public article on delisting and the changing attitudes of bondholders. I tried to find it, but I'm a little pressed for time this morning. It's worth a read.