Look at the cash position and burn rate. Companies fail when they run out of cash. UKOG has run out of cash and the low SP makes raising new funds extremely challenging and even if did succeed would wipe out existing shareholders.
They get their money from shareholders not sales, so trying to pump the SP is UKOG's top priority.
Expect some ridiculous announcement about Portland and it's £1b risk free opportunity prior to a major fund raise. They will then spent the money on directors salaries before announcing that they aren't in a position to bid for this year's hydrogen storage round, but they will aim to bid in the next round and then not even do that as no-one is interested in the project.
UKOG still owe RF/YA about £500k which is now nearly a third of marcap. It doesn’t look to be sustainable to keep on buying and selling 6% of marcap shares for either party.
I wouldn’t be surprised if a deal was done where UKOG pays them off for say £350k. It would of course have to be part of a larger multi-million fund raising which I suspect is coming as UKOG currently can’t afford to peruse any of its dreams.
"Every public company must hold a general meeting as its annual general meeting in each period of 6 months beginning with the day following its accounting reference date (in addition to any other meetings held during that period)."
"If a company fails to comply with subsection (1) an offence is committed by every officer of the company who is in default."
The accounting reference date was Sept 30th 2023, so it should of be held by end of March.
Each Director shall retire from office and shall be eligible for reappointment at the third annual general meeting after the general meeting at which he was appointed
The SIC code for UK Energy Storage Ltd is 06100 Extraction of crude petroleum (guess there isn't one for gas storage)
The SIC code for UKEn Holding Limited is 64209 Activities of other holding companies
So it looks like SS has a company already set up to hold UKEn under his exclusive control.
Maybe the plan is for UKOG to sell UKEn to SS then they go their separate ways, with UKOG going back to concentrating on Oil and Gas exploration (badly).
Of course SS's next move would be to start trying to find investors foolish enough to put money into his new company.
RE: Belated comments on the annual report5 Apr 2024 12:58
There's a note from the auditor that explains the situation:
"The group accounts for exploration and evaluation (E&E) costs in accordance with the requirements of IFRS 6 – Exploration for and evaluation of mineral resources. Costs such as exploration licences, leasehold land and property acquisition costs and costs directly associated with exploration activities are capitalised as exploration and evaluation intangible assets. There is a risk that the exploration and evaluation assets are incorrectly valued or need to be impaired.
If no future activity is planned, the licence has been relinquished or has expired, or where development is likely to proceed but there are indications that the E&E asset costs are unlikely to be recovered in full, the carrying value may be impaired and require being written off to the income statement."
RE: Belated comments on the annual report5 Apr 2024 12:48
"Exploration licence and leasehold land and property acquisition costs are capitalised in intangible assets."
"Costs directly associated with an exploration well are capitalised as exploration and evaluation intangible assets until the drilling of the well is complete and the results have been evaluated"
Intangible assets are just a tally of money spent, they don't reflect any market value of the asset.
Once an asset goes into production it is moved to Oil & Gas Properties which have a more rigorous valuation and results in a large impairment charge.
There are 10s of million of future accounting losses currently hiding in Intangible assets.
Currently UKOG has authority left to issue 1,420,034,718 shares.
RP/YA will want to ask for tranches of shares every month or so, probably around 6% of total outstanding like last time so that they each stay below the 3% reporting threshold.
That will of course put continued additional downward pressure on the SP.
But UKOG needs to raise cash of it's own as it only has about 4 months cash left.
New money from RP is definitely closed and I suspect YA has had enough as well. Last time UKOG used CMC at a 20% discount as did Alba recently.
But how much and at what discount? Alba had to offer a 30% discount to raise just 6% of marcap.
Currently at a 30% discount the most UKOG could raise is around £570k, which barely gives them a couple of months opex.
No-one is going to farm-in to Loxley without better test data which will cost a few million
BB restoration could cost a £1m
Hopes of HH farm-in seem to be dead given PPP's current markcap of £575k
Progressing Portland planning will cost a few million and UKOG need to appear financially solvent in order to attract needed partners.
So I think the next (or one after next) fund raising is going to be for several million, at a very heavy discount. Here's a raising through CMC at a 65% discount:
The raising might happen as part of a rebranding of UKOG (maybe as UK Oil & Hydrogen Feedstock ;-)) or even splitting the company in two with UK Energy Storage being spun out.
For existing shareholders it will mean wipe-out. Getting it through the AGM will be brutal.
The biggest problem with the Portland scheme is that there is no requirement to store hydrogen on the south coast. There's no producers of low-carbon hydrogen and no large scale consumers.
There is Fawley but they produce for their own consumption and have no need to for salt caverns.