RE: Big drop in output and fcf forecasts6 Dec 2022 18:19
None of the Analysts know anything Billy, fingers in the air cr@p, which is why the first four letters are in the name for them. Take no notice of theirs garbage imv.
Now my take on the presentation. I wasnt pleased at all with some comments. Heard each speaker going on and on about "shortage this shortage that", especially copper. Then they put up their production expectations (which they never seem to hit each time anyway) and they were FLAT projections till 2025.
Now that is not what i want to hear. I realise if a "shortage" occurs, unit selling rates will increase for no more capital expenditure than now to extract, so more money in the till for business as is currently. BUT i want to see increasing production, not an admission from BOD that there will be stagnation and no expansion of our outputs - maybe spend the huge income expanding into those fields they clearly state will be in shortage and actually grow the business?
Mining is cyclical and long term, need to expand and grow the company whilst cash a plenty for the next boom period because sure as eggs are eggs there will be a dip in the middle period.
Easy question to ask as an investor is. If you knew widgets were going to be worth a £10 tomorrow, but you could buy a boxfull to sell on today for £5. Wouldnt you buy as many as you could ready?
I am also not keen (from an investors point of view) on the large amount of time given to ESg issues and selling down the coal mines. Seems they cant wait to dump those and are sprinting ahead with disposal/closure.
They are our biggest earners - they should be milking the carp out of those for as long as they can imv. Not to do so is against investors best interests, which they should be upholding.