3B/4B to be or not to be.18 Sep 2022 16:07
Having listened to Keith Hill saying several majors were currently in the data room looking at 3B/4B, while not wishing to be all doom and gloom it occurred to me there is scope for the SA enterprise to diminish quite suddenly, and quite soon. That makes me question my own exit strategy.
I’m thinking of a scenario where 2B is a dud and none of the experts from the majors consider 3B/4B worth the investment bearing in mind the huge cost, thereby rendering the block a bit of wet real estate having no value. Note Hill acknowledged they can’t work it without the major on board. Trouble is, when would be the time to think nobody wants to farm in to 3B/4B, particularly when it’s not known how long they’ve been looking?
When Guyana is already in mothballs I personally won’t want to spend another few years waiting for action. Namibia has, according to Gil in the past, had farm-in interest but nothing has come of it and the Walvis Bay generally still seems devoid of interest.
Hopefully, the Orange Basin assets are great success, but we could certainly find out much sooner than expected.