RE: News in August?31 Jul 2022 03:12
lol, just fishing for ideas
last years Risked/unrisked sp was based on 4 prospects out of 21(maybe 19)
Now it looks like we are just drilling one of 4, and its only the old analyst that seems to mention the original 3
Take a look at page 2, consider the last year its been just about Tai, and it looks like this phase is just about Tai and a lake bed target within Tai.. Liberum have mentioned a 35% CoS, so that takes Tai risked price to 9.25, and a 1bcf lake bed to 1.5p. So ~11p plus cash and extras.. 14p assuming others as per table..
But if as per table then 5p plus extra's..8p, thats where we are now without a rig..
The unrisked prices remain the same unless the bcf is higher, or the $/mcf is increased for the calculation.
Anyway for some reason the new lake bed closure seems to have taken the place of that karoo play in my mind, not sure why but if thats our 2022 discovery, and its only 1 bcf then I have already paid more than unrisked price...So will be locked in for 2023 but in that case there will be more..
Liberums CoS 35%, their 19p risked and 54p on certain success suggests 10bcf, so that is based on ?
But I assume that 54p is based on reaching production as there is a risk assigned achieving that
https://www.helium-one.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/21-09-08-Hannam-note.pdf