Bought couple of thousand at 186.718 Jul 2022 10:19
Just read
Sharecast News) - Jefferies downgraded insurers Admiral and Direct Line on Monday after a profit warning from Sabre Insurance last week.
"Following Sabre's profit warning, it is clear that claims inflation is accelerating at a pace that UK motor insurers cannot keep up with," Jefferies said. ""ven with prices rising, we expect margins to deteriorate significantly."
The bank downgraded Direct Line to 'hold' from 'buy' and cut the price target to 215p from 330p.
"We cut our earnings forecasts by 5% for 2022F, 7% for 2023F and 4% for 2024F, which leads us to reduce our dividend estimates by 36%," it said. "Had our dividend estimates remained unchanged, this would result in a Solvency II ratio of 149% in 2022F and 145% in 2023F. Based on our new DPS forecasts, we now forecast a Solvency II ratio of 157% in 2022F and 160% in 2023F which we believe would be more prudent given the current climate."
Jefferies downgraded Admiral to 'underperform' from 'hold' and slashed the price target to 1,525p from 2,300p. The bank said it expects Admiral's profit commissions to reduce significantly.