Let’s hope so25 Oct 2021 11:43
Cases could fall to around 5,000 a day before Christmas - reports
Modelling seen by ministers suggests coronavirus infections will fall next month even without Plan B restrictions being introduced, according to reports.
Projections from several groups are said to show cases dropping rapidly within weeks, with experts reportedly indicating they could plunge to around 5,000 a day before Christmas.
The Daily Telegraph reports that a model from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM) suggests infections will soon peak before declining sharply in the winter.
Professor John Edmunds, from LSHTM and a member of the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) and the sub-group SPIM, said the model was projecting that cases "would start to decline some time in the autumn".
He told the newspaper: "However, the model also suggests that cases may start to climb again in the spring due to a combination of waning immunity and increased conta