RE: Eytan13 Oct 2025 10:46
As of today, Sintana’s most significant asset is its 4.9% indirect exposure to Block 83, held through a 49% stake in Inter Oil, which in turn owns Custos.
The operator of the block is GALP, holding 80%, and they’ve already announced a farm-out process.
The bear case is that GALP fails to secure a deal — in that case, the block’s valuation could drop sharply.
The bull case splits into two scenarios:
1. Sintana participates in the farm-out and sells its indirect interest together with GALP. Personally, I think that would be a mistake — it’s better to wait for development and production, especially given the carry through to production.
2. Sintana does not take part in the farm-out, and simply benefits from the fact that, after such a deal, the likelihood of commercial development rises dramatically.
As for what the Namibian government wants it’s all part of negotiations with the operators, but in the end, economics will prevail.
Interestingly, Shell wrote off its investment in its Namibian block recently, yet reports also suggest they plan to resume exploration, which keeps things dynamic.
My renks for sintna assetes:
1. pel 83
2. pel 90
3. pel 79
4. pel 82
5. pel 103 onshore
6. kon 16 ... onshore in angola
7. vmm37 in magdelane in colombia (it could be easily be nu. 1 but petro regime dont gave them to drill a d to develop the asset)