RE: ACF Report20 Jun 2020 12:14
Using discounted cashflow calculations, ACF derive GBP values for EUA assets as follows (see page 12 of the report):
West Kytlim £33m (1.11p per share)
Semonovsky £12m (0.40p per share)
Monchetundra £192m (6.47p per share)
Monch. Flanks £1,476m (49.75p per share)
The risk-adjusted WACC values (WACC = cost of capital or annual discount) used by ACF in their discounted cashflows are 10% for WK, 12% for MT and 30% for MT Flanks. ACF note that the 30% discount for MT Flanks is higher because there is no license and no EPC in place.
Once the MT Flanks license is issued, the risk factor is obviously reduced and the value is obviously increased. For example, applying a discount factor of 12% to ACF cashflow figures for MT Flanks, I calculate a revised valuation of £4,430m for EUA's 80% share which equates to 149.3p per share, assuming £/$ of 1.30 and 2,967m shares.
Obviously these valuations don't translate into sale prices as the buyer will be taking the risk of getting into production but they do provide some idea of the parameters for negotiation ....
As usual all IMO and DYOR