RE: Just a few numbers...2 Oct 2023 08:54
Morning.
Q3 numbers are kinda irrelevant.
You've seen the refinance schedule - 2024+ is what matters and Kouroussa was pencilled in at an AISC of just $1k oz - it won't be that in reality of course due to inflation but if you're assuming 200k+ oz pa at an AISC well under $1,500 ($1,300?) throughout 2024 and you're bearish Gold before it blows up next year and take an average $1,800 Gold price then you're still look at $100m of profit.
Those aren't "bankrupt" numbers, or anything like bankrupt numbers - it also remains to be seen what happens to the Gold price over the next six months - the gold price is oversold on the daily right now, who knows what happens next.
That said, if CRIMEX can get it to $1,700 by EoY then they will do so but there's zero chance of it staying there for more than a few days IMO - many will see that as the surest green light to throw the kitchen sink at Gold/miners ahead of the debt implosion in the US in 2024.
Trickle in here and elsewhere over the next 3-6 months IMO and stay patient while the game plays out.