My Assessment of Cause of Incredible Delay and News7 Oct 2024 16:43
I still believe that the timing of this AGM has been dictated by the requirement to meet UK government requirements as I believe there will be a press release on Wednesday or Thursday morning by the UK government that will beneficially involve SNG001. I can think of no other reason for the Incredible Delay.
The timetable for transmitting forecast rounds from the OBR to the Chancellor to inform her policy decisions and for publishing the final Economic and fiscal outlook is as follows:
• Thursday 19 September: Round 1
• Tuesday 8 October: Round 2 of 5 - Two days prior to our AGM.
Responsible officials would need to know that appropriate funding was assured.
I expect this announcement will be directly linked to the 28 August UK government announcement:
“World-first public-private collaboration launched to kickstart economic growth and build an NHS fit for the future.
The Voluntary Scheme for Branded Medicine Pricing, Access and Growth (VPAG) Investment Programme opens today. It will channel significant investment into the UK’s health and life sciences sector over the next 5 years, boosting economic growth and the global competitiveness of the UK’s life sciences sector.
The funding will be channelled into key health and life sciences projects across the country to:
• increase opportunities for patients to participate in commercial clinical trials: the programme will allocate 75% of its investment to expand the UK’s capacity and capability for commercial clinical trials. Up to 18 new Commercial Research Delivery Centres (CRDCs) will be established across the 4 nations to enhance and build upon the UK’s commercial clinical trials infrastructure and support patient recruitment into trials. Researchers will also have increased access to the latest equipment and technology to enable innovative trials to be designed across hospital and primary, community and residential care settings, bringing research to communities across the UK”
I expect Southampton University will be appointed a CRDC for respiratory diseases.
We have been essentially informed that there will be a “fund raise”. It is an essential requirement that full disclosure is made prior to the pricing of this. Dilution is almost inevitable but without new investment we LTIs have essentially nothing. I expect the SP to initially rise on the news prior to dilution. I expect an EGM will be called (two weeks’ notice is required) and that TFG will provide a guarantee. There will be invovement from one of the Universal BPs.
I also anticipate involvement from BARDA. That “third place” has been open for a considerable time.
If I’m even close to being right, SS deserves a standing ovation!
GLA