Copper2 Apr 2021 19:13
As if you didn't already know :-))
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Op-ed: Short supply ahead, as world’s appetite for copper grows
Apr 1, 2021
ERG's Frontier copper mining and processing facility
2021 is shaping up to be a year of significant deficit in the copper market as tighter-than-expected supply struggles to keep up with a radically improved demand outlook, underpinned by unprecedented levels of ‘green’ stimulus.
We expect copper demand growth outside of China to be a key driving force this year. The global industrial recovery is picking up pace, with macro indicators across several key copper consuming nations showing strength. Recent manufacturing PMI readings in the US, Europe, Japan, South Korea and India have entered expansionary territory.
AUTHOR: Benedikt Sobotka, CEO of Eurasian Resources Group
The approval of the USD 1.9bn stimulus package in the US, as well as green stimulus measures across the EU countries, will also provide a boost to copper demand, effectively bringing forward the green energy boom by several years.
Overall, we see the current period as the preamble to a prolonged phase of above-average copper consumption growth, especially in Europe and the US, where demand has been broadly stagnant over the past decade.
In China, the strong recovery from the coronavirus pandemic is set to continue this year. The world’s largest consumer of copper has recently unveiled its 14th Five-Year Plan, which is highly supportive to copper demand. In particular, the Plan’s focus on rural revitalisation, decarbonisation and pledges to advance infrastructure construction, transportation, power, green energy, digital development and technological innovation are set to underpin strong copper demand growth.