Great advfn post12 Aug 2021 19:43
SOURCE ;
Edgein ADVFN BOARD:
Some very interesting snippets in the prospectus for sure, especially about the performance of the miscible flood and the impact that its having on the production and reserves of the Wyoming assets:
"The subsequent analysis of one full year of production and gas injection
data indicated the performance of the miscible flood is exceeding the initial plan. As such, the Ryder Scott Report filed by the Company as at 31 December 2020, and now updated effective 1 April 2021, has been updated accordingly to reflect the reservoir performance up to 31 March 2021.
In addition, the Company is evaluating drilling locations and targeted reservoirs in Proved Developed and Proved Undeveloped Reserve areas in the Cole Creek unit. The purpose of this evaluation will be to drill an initial 2 to 4 wells in 2021-2022 needed to initiate miscible flooding in 2023-2024 and to increase the Company’s oil production."
So it sounds like they still plan to drill on CC (as well as reactivate those 17 wells) this year. RS suggest there's around 114mmbbls in place for the Frontier and Dakota formations and numerous proven and possible future well locations. So there's lots of potential to increase flow rates with the miscible flood exceeding expectations and these new wells to be drilled this year and next. They'll be going flat out drilling BFU next year too. Once they establish the flow rates over the longer term of the CC field there's lots of scope for the reserves to increase from the current 11.9mmbbls given the oil in place numbers given in this report.
There's a good chance they can add significantly to the 2P given the performance of other wells in the area. With our previous NPV of around $185m at $39/bbl increasing to over $300m at $70/bbl there's current scope to add significantly to that. Wyoming alone makes our current cap of £60m look tiny, gonna pop. Plus they suspended with a very hefty cash balance which will be confirmed again in the Q2 coming soon.
In Nigerian/Africa,
"ShoreCan is focussed on acquiring upstream oil and gas exploration, development and producing assets in Africa, and has taken a position in Nigeria while it continues to evaluate a variety of additional assets in Nigeria."
There will be lot of assets up for grabs with the majors losing interest in their Nigerian assets, lots of smaller non-core assets. So it will be interesting to see what they get their hands on now that COPL are in a much stronger position to develop Shorecan now that they have growing production and cashflow into the COPL group.
The scale of the Nigerian assets remain as company making as ever with 1U/P90 of around 300mmbbls (gross), P50/2U of Crica 500mmbbls (gross) and 3U/P10 of around 1bn bbls (gross). No wonder Essar were so keen to get these back again.
"In addition, ShoreCan has invested USD$8 million into Essar Nigeria in the form of an interest-free shareholder loan. The funds are to be used for Essar Ni