AJ Bell: ‘Beached whale’ Vodafone facing many risks6 Feb 2024 08:12
There is little for shareholders to hold onto in the latest update from Vodafone (VOD) and plenty of risks facing the telecoms giant, says AJ Bell.
Analyst Russ Mould said the Citywire Elite Companies AAA-rated stock has been a ‘business with all the alacrity of a beached whale’ and there was nothing in its third-quarter statement ‘to get investors particularly excited’.
The group is ‘trying to shed some dead weight’ and is still in discussions over its underperforming Italian division despite turning down a merger offer from French telecoms company Iliad last month.
‘News of better-than-expected sales is something for shareholders to hang on to, with the company seeing improving momentum in its cloud and enterprise arms,’ said Mould.
‘However, management is not getting carried away as full-year forecasts remain unchanged.’
Mould said ambitions to scale up Vodafone’s mobile operation in the UK could be stymied by competition authorities as its deal with Three comes under the spotlight.
‘The UK’s Competition and Markets Authority has proven itself to be robust and there is a risk the probe could either sink the deal entirely or introduce mitigations which will undermine its attractions,’ he said.
‘History does not provide an encouraging guide for Vodafone given the precedent of a tie-up between O2 and Three being turned down in 2016.’
The shares fell 3% to 66.58p on Monday, with the shares down 27% over the last 12 months.