RE: SP Movement15 May 2026 12:29
I broadly agree, but I’m not sure the biggest SP move necessarily waits for the PFS itself.
The market is forward-looking, so if drilling keeps confirming continuity and supports conversion from inferred to indicated, I’d expect some of that confidence to be priced in before the PFS lands.
That said, Redmoor is still earlier than some people seem to treat it — the current economics are still based on a 100% inferred resource, so drilling/resource conversion is the key step first.
By PFS time, there’s always the chance optimism is already in the price. If the PFS beats expectations on capex, recoveries, mine plan and funding route, great. But if it’s only in line with what people already hope for, I wouldn’t rule out some “buy the rumour, sell the news” behaviour.