Commercial property6 Jul 2016 10:32
It's not just the REIT that's knocking the share price but the value of L&G's total property portfolio which was valued at £18.2bn in March 2016. As of now this will be approx. 5-7% lower (according to MSCI/IPD numbers) and will continue to fall as the question over inward investment becomes more of an issue. This is not similar to leaving the ERM when shares rebounded etc etc. There is a pile of regulatory change to undergo in the EU extraction process and there will be defections of businesses and people to the continent. Also, the shrinking £ will stoke up inflation medium term and this will also have an effect on investment, property values, cost of building materials etc. Net net net commercial property yields have been falling to daft levels which negates the coupon trade that has driven the market over the last 5-6 years. It will get worse before it gets better.