Egyptian valuation4 Jan 2022 12:56
Berenberg updated its modelling of assets recently acquired by Cairn to "more accurately" capture the appropriate fiscal terms and cost guidance provided in its competent persons' report.
"We note that Cairn's FY21 pro-forma working interest production guidance remains 33,000-38,000 barrels of oil per day, lower than in the CPR (circa 53,000 boepd. The lower output is a result of reduced investment in recent years due to the low oil price and Shell's intention to sell the assets," said Berenberg.
The analysts also said their updated modelling indicated average cash flow from the assets of roughly $96.0m from 2022-26, meaning its valuation of the acquired portfolio increased by 23% to $462.0m, or 66.0p per share.
We badly need an update regarding Egypt and the plan to get back to 50 boed .