Roundtable Discussion; The Future of Mineral Sands. Watch the video here.
BMO, Edison, Finncap, peel Hunt - Dated : 28/09/2019
Market cap: £231.6m
Fundamentals:
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued
Financial health:
Short term assets £99.7m – short term liabilities £24.5m, Long term liabilities £26.4m
Forecast:
Earnings: 13.5% p.a. – (UK Market 12.5%)
Revenue: 11.9% p.a. – (UK Market 4.1%)
Expected div. yield: 0.29%
Management:
BMN’s b.o.d. are considered experienced
BMN’s Management team are considered experienced
Ownership:
PI’s 76%, Insiders: 9%, Companies 3%, institutions 11%
Valuation:
Current price £0.21, Intrinsic value £1.38
85% undervalued
PE – 8.8x (industry av. 9.4x, Market av. 16x)
BMN is significantly undervalued
Been following this bb for sometime with a view to taking a position.
These bb's can be useful - people make suggestions and post links that can be followed up and so long as you allow for the vast amounts of confirmation bias a lot of posts are helpful.
Then we have posts from the likes of hope2gain and Lottohopes and you realize that you have to take most of what you read on here with a huge pinch of salt.
95% of the scientific community accept man made climate change yet people deny it because they have read something on some dodgy "flat earth" websites.
No, we mustn't get ahead of ourselves but the possibility of BMN becoming a major player in the VRFB sector is the reason I invested here and the requirements for the tender have just made that look like becoming a much more likely possibility - even a probability.
If this happens BMW will be the most valuable company SA has ever seen 3 years from now
I get the impression that the boxes are being placed deliberately so BMN does tick them all.
It seems to me that the decisions have been made already.
BMN is a SA company, employing SA people, producing a non hazardous battery that will last for 20 years
South Africa’s utility Eskom is preparing to launch a tender for 1.4 gigawatt-hours of battery storage that will need to be installed by December 2021.
The large-scale energy storage tender, the first of its kind in the country and in Africa as a whole, will be split into two phases, with an initial 200 megawatts/800 megawatt-hours of capacity to be built by December 2020, an Eskom official said.
As well as dealing with very tight deadlines, Moyo said bidders would need to be aware of a minimum 20 percent local content requirement in the first phase of procurement.
He said Eskom would provide guidance on how developers might achieve the local content level, for example through the use of designated materials or skills development for local workers.
Developers will also have to take into account that South Africa has a 500-cubic-meter hazardous substances limit, above which any deployment will have to go through additional permitting that could take a couple of years.
Moyo noted that bids will be evaluated on a total cost of ownership basis. Eskom is also looking for performance guarantees over 20 years and will be imposing penalties for noncompliance. The utility will use a World Bank procurement approach, he said.
For the love of god can we please stick to the brief. There are people who come on here to gather information to help with decisions.
Can we please just ignore YinYans finger in the air predictions and the Chinese restaurant owner called Hamish!!
Rising to them is just stopping genuinely interested investors even bothering to come on here.
I know some of you (me included) have lost a huge percentage of your original investment and, like me, have probably written it but stayed invested.
I feel pretty optimistic about this but what are other people opinions?
Do you see this merger and potential diluting pushing the SP lower?
Where do you see this in 6 months/ 36 months time?
Would you buy more on the back of this merger with Avalon?
We shall see.
Given the instability of Redt I would have concerns but now they have merged (or possibly are about to merge) with a company that is backed by Foxconn and have agreed a leasing model with BMN for Vanadium other things now come into play.
I would certainly be more confident as a potential customer in that scenario.
Although I do accept your point is this really the lost cause we all seem to think it is?
I am currently just a bit more positive about Redt now.
The Vox markets site today says
REDT ENERGY (RED) announced that one of its 300kWh flow machines has passed testing from National Grid’s FFR service, one of the most valuable balancing services available in the UK market today.
I agree with your sentiments 13th monkey.
I also have a practically worthless holding here having lost 80%.
But the company now looks like it has the possibility of not only surviving but actually achieving something so I shall be staying in for the ride.
After all, they are in a business sector that will explode over the coming years and if they get just a small chunk of that..
Yes I guess my 1p shares may be worth a fraction of a penny in the short term but who know in 3-5 years.
I shall watch this carefully - who knows if I feel its going in the right direction in a few months I may even buy when the dust settles.
You said yourself yellowf1 "I have no doubt it will survive" - you wouldn't have said that last week.
yellowf1 - graham-wales
Are either of you invested in Redt? you both are very negative about it.
https://kiemsat.vn/lan-dau-tien-viet-nam-duoc-tiep-nhan-cong-nghe-san-xuat-pin-vanadium-de-phuc-vu-luu-tru-dien-nang-52801.html
Implementation of the International Cooperation Program on the transfer of Vanadium battery manufacturing technology between VIPTAM Technology Application Institute and RedT Energy Renewable Energy Technology Group. Ltd. (United Kingdom), aims to supply and install Vanadium Battery equipment in Vietnam. With 20 years of experience in the Vanadium Battery technology and clean technology market, RedT Energy will partner with the VIPTAM Institute to transfer this technology to Vietnam through joint ventures.