Member Info for asimpleinvestor

@affrm There have been more raises below 12p than at 12p or above. What’s the average across all raises, and what’s the most recent? Then consider the perceived asset value at the time of suspension compared to the known asset value today. After that, assess whether investor confidence is high or low. The share will open in the pits, and the market will decide where it goes from there assuming, of course, it actually relists to trade. Despite plenty of company bluster, trading still hasn’t resumed, and at this point, there’s no apparent reason why permission to relist hasn’t been sought, as all statutory tasks have been completed.

@ID78 They let a 'banned' Chinese ship through this morning. I assume Jesus Ch..., sorry I mean Trump thought better of antagonising China otherwise they may officially come to the aid of Iran

@Eightyeight88 It’s a bit of a non-starter to talk about government U-turns under Starmer when you think about how many there were under the Conservatives, not to mention the number of Prime Ministers they had under their watch. Labour, for all their faults, still have a long way to go before they can match the Tories’ record in that regard.

I invested into ITM when they secured the £87 million in government backing, as my analysis suggested it was worth a punt. If they manage to stay reasonably on schedule, I believe it could flourish over the next 3-5 years. Lloyds I think will remain volatile for a while longer yet along with the other banks.

No change then, still suspended.

@Sean1986 I didn't announce profits after the event as the markets were closed when I predicted the outcome or did you miss that bit. I can provide a full list of what shares, ETF's and CFD's I hold if you desire showing which are up which are down and which haven't moved at all if thats your desire. My overall portfolio is up today by 0.7% but I have days where it falls too. 3BRL is up 11.63% today whereas CPH2 is down 9.23% we win some we lose some thats what happens when you invest. My best investment currently is HEX as its up 261% over the last year. My worst is NESF which has lost 31.2% over the last year but has been offset by high dividends.

Indeed, its stopped raining, suns out, winds dropped, the air is warming and I'm landscaping part of my kitchen garden today.

School run time

@troublesome Indeed, 7.51%

US Central Command (Centcom) announced it would begin its blockade of the strait beginning Monday April 13th at 10am ET [1400 GMT]. Trumpy boy has decided as this is now a holy war he would turn his attention to insulting the pope.

Its more that I have only been awake since 7.45 and I'm scanning RNS's to see if any apply to me. Usually, I'm up at 7am when they drop. Brent Crude opened at 101.60

My Brent Crude CFD is up 7.85% and my 3x leveraged will open up 21.85%. Helium stocks are up, as are renewables

Sorry long I cancelled my short on Friday

The OECD expects global growth to hit 2.9% - 3.2%in 2026, but that number doesn’t really reflect what most people are feeling in their wallets. GDP might look good on paper, but it ignores how rising costs are eating away at living standards. With diesel averaging 186.8p per litre in April 2026 and topping £2.00 at many premium stations the basic cost of getting around is wiping out any supposed benefits from economic growth.

On top of that, there’s a gap between nominal and real wealth. UK median pay is set to rise by 3% this year, but inflation across G20 advanced economies has been revised up to 4%. That means buying power is actually shrinking. Real wages in the UK are expected to grow by just 1.1%, leaving people with money that doesn’t stretch as far at the pump or in the shops. In this context, a 3% GDP growth rate feels more like a statistical illusion than a sign of shared prosperity, raising the question of who’s really benefiting from this “growth.” Thats the reality

@skier1 "The only surefire way to win is multiple nukes, or a (huge) ground invasion of 1m NATO soldiers. "

There won’t be any NATO soldiers unless Iran attacks a NATO member country. When Trumps Kinetic war was launched against Iran, he was the aggressor and not defending U.S. territory, so it wouldn’t be considered a NATO war, and NATO would stay out of it. The use of nuclear weapons would mark the death knell of the USA as it would lead to a total collapse of US-led alliances. Major powers like China and India, as well as European allies, would likely implement comprehensive sanctions against the US to prevent a global "Pandora’s Box" scenario where nuclear use becomes normalised, as if they weren't then other foreign actors would consider their use against their own perceived enemies.

@skier1 Quote "Iran has lost 20-40% of its entire GDP in 2 months! Vast and sudden and unimaginable economic devastation."

You were saying there was nothing to worry about and that the world’s economies were growing, yet now you’re suggesting Iran has lost 20-40% of its GDP in just two months. The reality is the World Bank and IMF estimate that the Iranian economy contracted by approximately 2.7% to 3% for the 2025/26 fiscal year. While analysts suggest the war could cause a total contraction of around 10%, a loss of 20-40% in a 60-day window is historically unprecedented for a diversified economy. Physical devastation is significant but localised. Reports indicate that 66% of missile and naval production sites were hit, and major steel plants in Isfahan and Ahvaz suffered damage that will take at least six months to repair. The most "unimaginable" volatility is seen in the currency and prices rather than total output. The rial saw a 44% year-on-year depreciation in March 2026, and food price inflation has reached a historical high of 99%. Oil production in southern regions has reportedly dropped by over 70%, which severely impacts government revenue (90% of the state budget), but this loss of revenue does not translate 1-to-1 into a loss of total national GDP.

@skier1 The claim that the global economy is "doing just fine" with a +3% GDP growth forecast for 2026 aligns with recent OECD projections, which estimate global growth at 3.2% for 2026. However, the assertion that there are no "major global economic implications" or risks is factually incomplete. While headline growth remains resilient, the OECD highlights significant structural risks, including heightened geopolitical tensions, persistent core inflation in the services sector, and rising sovereign debt levels which limit fiscal manoeuvrability for many nations. Furthermore, the growth is not uniform; while emerging markets often exceed the 3% threshold, many advanced economies, particularly in the Eurozone, are projected to grow at a much slower rate (approximately 1.5% to 1.7%). Therefore, while the data supports a stable growth trajectory, it does not support the absence of systemic economic risks or "hysteria-free" stability.

"As you always, as is your right, find fault with ever suggestion to bring about a lasting peace, not a few weeks or months, what does your superior mind or AI bot suggest is the best way out for the States and the free world now."

There’s no easy way forward now that the damage is done. The choices are either to push on to the bitter end, risking a drawn-out conflict like Ukraine, or to limit the damage by accepting the demands in Iran’s ten-point plan. If Trump had taken his advisors’ advice from the start, this situation might never have happened, but he didn't so now have hard choices to make. Walking away isn't an option and the use of nuclear weapons isn't an option either even if it didn't spur other countries to consider their use themselves, as you may be able to control the blast radius, but you can't control the fallout and a large area of not just Iran but its neighbours would find itself radioactive for a very long time to come. You don't need to use AI to engage your brain and utilise common sense.

the sofh are salt water so a little pointless utilising in on crops as the salt would kill them. its pointless trying to drink it also in its current form as it will poison you. the water in the persian gulf and the strait has some of the highest salinity levels of the world's oceans, due to high evaporation rates and low freshwater inflow, for it to be drinkable it would need to pass through a desalinisation plant to remove the salt.

apparently now, trump has said he intends to blockade the straits at both ends so as to not let any shipping in or out which again is a bit pointless if iran has already closed them and it wouldn't fix the problem just make it worse.

trump using any kind of nuclear weapon would be suicidal and could set off a chain reaction israel might use nukes against its enemies, ****stan could do the same, russia might deploy them in ukraine, and china could threaten their use in taiwan. back in wwii, only one country had nuclear weapons; now many powerful nations do. with the way trump is behaving on the world stage, it could even risk mainland usa being bombed out of existence. no one is reckless enough to actually use a nuclear weapon, no matter the size, not even trump.

@Ssccss It was an FCA general enquiry not an investigation therefore if nothing came of it then there is nothing for the board to share.