RE: St micro job14 Sep 2022 22:01
Barbon, I have place my comments below in brackets.
Amerloque, thanks for an interesting post but I'm not sure what you base 3. upon. Whatever the result Samsung will continue to use QDs, they have too much invested not to. Whatever the result they will continue to produce QDs in house (I count Hansol as in house to Samsung).
[ As I implied, Nanoco can not cut Samsung QD production immediately, but they can block Samsung manufacturing once Nanoco worldwide production is in place (via STM, Nanoco, and other?). ].
They're not going to be buying material from Nanoco. They will either be producing them licence free if they win or as we hope and expect under licence from Nanoco, the fee paid either as a global figure now on estimated future sales/production or annually upon an agreed figure for sales/production from an agreed independent outside source. Either way it should not affect Nanoco's own production facility.
[Since Samsung has been competing with Nanoco in QD production, Nanoco can block Samsung, and I believe they will eventually. Samsung cannot be trusted. Yet, Nanoco cannot possibly produce enough dots at Runcorn to meet demand non-Samsung customers. They will need to expand. Why not with STMicro's help? Moreover, IRQDs could be successful enough to quickly exceed Runcorn capacity. ]
It follows 5. is also not entirely correct imo, though that nobody will trust Samsung is undoubtedly correct.
I do agree completely that STM will produce their own QDs, or have them produced to order, hopefully under licence using Nanoco's IP. Nanoco may well have a consultancy role during the set up of production
If N were to lose against S, STM might examine whether they actually needed to licence the IP, but I cannot see STM or Samsung, or most other significant future customers actually buying much material from the Runcorn plant. Most CFQDs will be made under licence, if not straight away certainly after the use of the material has become established.
[ A victory over Samsung would premise everything I said. If Nanoco wins, they will have plenty of money to expand current plants and add more plants. If Samsung goes for a settlement instead of a trial, Nanoco may let them continue to produce QDs. I would expect that Nanoco is advising them that they would be blocked if they lose in a trial. This adds quite a bit of leverage. ]
I may be wrong about where IR CFQDs would be produced, I hope so, I'd very much like to see large scale production for major world players happening in Runcorn, but I suspect it won't.