Member Info for Ageens

This assessment is completely outdated by couple months. Russia is one who seeks ceasefire to mobilise reserves. If Ukraine does not win, Putin and 's team already marked Poland and Lithuania as next targets, as well as necessity to teach lesson to Germany. I would like to see, how the "the best possible deal for Ukraine" works out in the long term :D
Luckily for us, Ukraine hold some fronts, cleared out north and slowly advances in the south.

If Lloyds sponsor Hitler @1939? Ban all! This time Hitler has A-bombs too.
Yield amount included risks, all investors took that into account. It is your business how to mitigate those risks in your portfolio.

Whole World is having flashbacks, Putin's speeches are copied from NaziGermany's, Putin's top civil servants, MP's, diplomats always talk about special russian way and cleansing they will bring to neighbours. They talk how all neighbouring territories are Russia's and Russian gifts and they will be taken back. There are only discussion, is it period before Nazi Germany invaded Czechs or Poland.
"just demilitarized and corrupt gov " means, you should submit to whatever Russia's requests (currently that is to exterminate everyone who calls himself Ukrainian). And support, dismissed by judge, president Yanukovich, who lost job because stopped to come to work.

"Everything is shut down in Ukrain." - that bold announcement.
European Business Association's research says: 63% of Ukrainian businesses function as "normal".

"Looks like Putin has used his oldest tanks and youngest soldiers first knowing they would take some hits.....I suspect the "real" soldier battalions and decent tank hardware etc is still to roll in, from the border areas"

Looks like this is not the case, only battle-groups with combat experience are ones from occupied Doneck/Luhansk territories, from Syria + mercs used here and there. They all are tied up near Doneck/Luhansk.
1st wave was the one with "decent" hardware. If believe Combat Intelligence team's report (works together with Bellingcat) - there are signs of using old tanks from conservation, without dynamic armour, with obvious signs of spare parts coming from different vehicles. Russia run out if "Iskander" rockets, now back to Soviet "tochka-U" (Scarab B).
As well as reserves coming from far-east, that will take 2 weeks on railway.

Feb could be like 5-10% drop, ShareSave sellers are coming in. Historically - 3 of 4 cases have drop. In line with jedclampit's numbers.
PFD's graph candles often are without tails/wigs. And price rises/falls stop dead at certain round numbers multiple days in a row. I have no clue who does this.

I understand why it is compared to 2 years ago, but I can not get head around numbers. Should we divide gains by 2 to get average, or are they already "annualised"?
Remember, how portfolio broadening went last time.

Requires some kind of message first. For example, PM says "There is absolutely no reason to start panic buying and stockpiling food. Everything is under control!"

re:swings. I have feeling of some fat cats shaking boat, prices often stop dead at certain top or bottom levels.
But if no global economy crash, I would expect "nice price" on November's new ShareSave season announcement, "good" on Feb, and "crashy" after March ShareSave sales (year '18, with 30p/share if I recall) starts.
Sales going well, problem is "free shelves" available at retailers, but you can squeeze out just so much. Machines working out of resource, I would expect CAPEX increases, but this is just my opinion.

"6) discount this by 50% for a margin of safety purchase price of £3.85. Basically you can buy Boohoo shares all the way up to £3.85 and still get a fantastic bargain."
Every 4 moths last year it dropped by 50%, -20% - this year. Currently trading at it's volume profile highs, bulls are sitting @2.70 and 3.10, bears - 3.45, 3.15, 2.73 and at 4.13 last scraps get sold.
From swing-trading, Boo is outstanding, you can double income every 1/2 year, if get info before mass sellers...

some Americans say, inflation is cancelled and expectations - overrated.
Should we pile in TLT (US long term bonds)? What about UK/EU market? US bond vs PFD in case of deflation?
https://hoisington.com/pdf/HIM2021Q1NP.pdf

IMHO, That should mean, people buy more "regular" and cheaper essentials rather than additional "over-priced" "high-hyped" Easter stuff.
Do not know about whole PFD, but ambient desserts did not see huge demand spike.

"PFD share price could fall. We missed the post Easter rally. I was hoping at over the pound by now. Can’t see this in near term except for a blip moment. Too many times going to £1 & then back down, volume here is very low. "
Actually, we were waiting for annual report rumors to release ("launch") price, usually - 2nd half of April. Max price in June. By my expectations. And by daily turnover. No stars for Q4 but very decent year.
Someone use hard TP (take profit) level @ 101.4 GBx, I wonder is it the same person/institution which had hard "buy" @88 GBx at the end of Feb, start of March

"Apart from schools the rest of the economy opening up will be based on data not dates so can't see anything too exciting coming from the weekend.
What do other people think?"
Definitely! No one remembers any U-turns from this government! Going down - good! But there will be no "going - up again" only if it will be reported as "extinct"!

just watched that guy selling 4.3m of shares 35 min before price jumped buy 1.3p.

"Look at the UK and the graph and the effect of the lockdown
Then look at the US. No lockdown and exactly the same graph.!"
Because some PM introduced lockdowns after care homes got their COVID share, remember the mortality spike on the graph, when they announced where all care-home deatsh will go for now. 1/2 Europe did much better at the spring, but became much care-lesser when 2nd wave came.
US some states had their rules, NY-city was locked as.. But I agree that UK's measures were timed very badly and consequences are comparable with US's.

"So you think the lockdown should have started sooner and should go on for longer?"
Yep. Border lock Nov'19 would be the cheapest.
Lockdown Jan-Feb'20, establish track and trace, tests'n'stuff, we would have 10% of spring numbers.
Every epidemiologist warned of 2nd wave, end of August already showed increasing numbers, lock down then and we would see 1/2 of September numbers and 10-20% of October/November peaks. Instead we had wtf-zones-regimes changing every 2nd day and no one cared.
Now we have lockdowns anyway, but at that point it would be much cheaper and shorter and traceable.

"So you dont think the lockdown has helped reduce the R rate then?"
It is only thing that helps, statistics shows that, but if too short - R is up within 2 weeks. Lockdown should be put in place when scientific advisors/sage say so, not couple weeks later.

"Without sounding like a d**k, there are lot of things we do endanger people's lives (car accident for example, but we still driving), and the covid endangered group are mostly > 80s , should we shut down the earth for? I am not sure. data says 3-5% death rate, but far more % of the population are suffering from the lock down. "

If you would not have lockdowns, then you get Brasilian/Russian city style Covid with mortality ~15-20% when hospitals run out of oxygen, vents, space and medics. When ambulance drives around the city's hospitals trying squeeze their patient in if he/she manages to survive long enough.
Sure, majority would still be fine, but absolutely no guarantee that you or your relatives would receive any help in case of need.
+ cognitive capabilities/potential affected even for those who get the illness in very light form. Why risk?

BTW, after we reached 80p, rapid growth happen approx every 8 weeks, last one was mid Jan, so next one expected mid March? Every time with higher highs.