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Broker tips: Glencore, SuperGroup, Meggitt

Tue, 15th Dec 2015 13:59

(ShareCast News) - Glencore got a boost after JPMorgan Cazenove upgraded it to 'overweight' from 'neutral' with an unchanged price target of 160p, as it pitched the stock against rival Anglo American.It pointed out that Glencore and Anglo American provided strategy updates last week."In our view, Glencore defined a credible strategy to generate $2.3bn of positive free cash flow in 2016, reverse balance sheet risk and create value for equity holders at spot commodity prices."It said the key surprise at the investor day was the extent of cost cutting in zinc, copper and coal, which drives a $2bn uplift in its 2016E EBITDA to $7.6bn at current prices."AAL's outlook is less positive, it will generate -$1bn FCF and YE'16 ND/EBITDA will stretch to 3.8x at spot prices," the bank said.JPM said it estimates that Glencore is the only diversified miner with positive cash flow in 2016 at spot prices, adding that it is an interesting alternative to Rio Tinto.JPM said it retains concerns over the long-term impact of aggressive cost cutting and the risk to Glencore's balance sheet at lower prices, but decisive measures credibly mitigate the risk of dilution for equity holders."In contrast, AAL's excessive leverage means this risk should continue to grow as we head into 2016." SuperGroup traded sharply lower after Liberum downgraded the stock to 'hold' from 'buy', noting that the shares are up 85% since it upgraded them last December."With the stock now trading on 24x 2016 earnings, a 50% premium to its long-term average, we downgrade to hold and advise investors to take profits," it said, adding that in the absence of positive catalysts, it sees more downside risk.The brokerage said it upgraded forecasts and the target price in May, and again in early November but tough comparators lie ahead and trading conditions across the High Street are deteriorating.Liberum said first half sales were strong but scope for positive surprises is limited.It noted that at the time of the H1 update on 5 November, momentum was strong heading into the Christmas trading period.However, Liberum said momentum can be a fickle thing and the brokerage sees evidence that it may have shifted in the past six weeks.In its report in early November, Liberum pointed out that competition was increasing and that there might be some excess inventory."We find that SuperGroup is having to deal with both. Promotions elsewhere on the High Street are deep, up to 60%; and we see promotional activity, both in store and on line at SuperGroup, not necessarily more than last year, but surprising given the strength of Q2 sales leading into the period.""Sales comparators get much tougher in H2 and with 75% of group profits to come from H2 as well we see little room for error."Liberum has a 1,500p price target on the stock. Meggitt has been upgraded by Berenberg from 'hold' to 'buy', saying the company is well positioned to benefit from strong growth drivers in its civil aerospace markets.It comes after the FTSE 100 company, which is due to join the FTSE 250 next week, issued a profit warning in October and last week confirmed full-year guidance and provided an outlook for 2016.Berenberg said on Tuesday that they've learned more about actions being undertaken to address the company's current headwinds."We were reassured that business fundamentals have not changed materially and that downside risks are being mitigated."Berenberg also noted that management and directors have bought shares worth nearly £1m since the profit warning, and that the company has also reiterated its commitment to a progressive dividend policy.With the shares looking attractive against peers, it upgraded the stock but also revised its target price down from 536p to 445p.
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5 Nov 2015 16:36

London close: Copper prices weigh on Footsie despite dovish MPC

(ShareCast News) - Equities ended near their worst levels of the day despite a dovish set of minutes from the Bank of England's last Monetary Policy Committee meeting, weighed down by a further drop in commodity prices. Following its meeting, the MPC said there were downside risks to growth

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5 Nov 2015 12:10

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: BoE Keeps Rates On Hold With Unchanged Vote

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5 Nov 2015 10:34

WINNERS & LOSERS SUMMARY: Emerging Markets Hit Coca-Cola HBC Revenue

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5 Nov 2015 09:51

BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: Goldman Adds SSE To Conviction Sell List

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5 Nov 2015 08:08

SuperGroup first half revenue up 22%

(ShareCast News) - Clothing retailer SuperGroup said sales were up 22.4% in the first half but warned that comparatives throughout the second half are more challenging. Sales in the first half to October 24 rose to £254.9m on the back of positive growth in existing retail and wholesale channels and

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5 Nov 2015 08:02

SuperGroup First-Half Revenue Up, Gross Margin Ahead Of Guidance

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3 Nov 2015 11:08

Tuesday broker round-up

(ShareCast News) - Getech Group: WH Ireland downgrades to sector perform, cuts target price to 40.00p. Kingfisher: JP Morgan Cazenove initiates new coverage with an underweight, sets target price at 320.00p. Intercontinental Hotels Group: Nomura reiterates to neutral, cuts target price to 2698.00p.

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29 Oct 2015 16:23

Earnings, Trading Statements Calendar - Week Ahead

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23 Oct 2015 14:24

DIRECTOR DEALINGS: SuperGroup Co-Founder Sells Shares

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20 Oct 2015 16:11

DIRECTOR DEALINGS: SuperGroup Director Sells Shares

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9 Sep 2015 14:55

FTSE 250 movers: Premier Farnell blown higher on Raspberry Pi

(ShareCast News) - The FTSE 250 index rose strongly along with larger benchmark indices, but lost ground as the session wore on. At the close, the mid-cap index was up 0.9% at 17,153.28. Premier Farnell was the highest riser on the second-line index on the day when one of the electronic products it

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8 Sep 2015 05:12

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7 Sep 2015 15:04

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4 Sep 2015 15:16

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