* European shares higher led by tech
* Strong Q3 earnings reports also help
* Bank of England ramps up stimulus
* Wall Street futures point to more gains
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Q3 REVENUE SURPRISE AT HIGHEST LEVEL IN 10 YEARS (1200 GMT)
About two thirds of the Russell 1500 companies have reported third quarter results, of which
72% beat on earnings and 56% on revenue making it one of best quarters for positive surprise,
Morgan Stanley says.
Most of the beats included communication services (81%), information technology (81%) and
industrials (80%) companies. While most earnings misses so far this season involved real estate
and utilities businesses (12% and 10%, respectively), according to MS.
The bank has identified Amazon, Philips 66, Vici Properties and Raymond James as its top
quality shares as they "delivered outsized earnings and revenue surprises versus their sector
peers".
(Joice Alves)
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CHINA’S INTEREST IN LUXURY AT ALL-TIME HIGHS (1131 GMT)
Let’s take a look also at sectors which are not directly affected by U.S. elections, such as
luxury which is more interested in China’s economic trajectories and consumer desires.
“Surveys done by Credit Suisse’s China Quantitative Insight team suggest that near-term
pandemic disruption is responsible for 80% of the decline in Chinese luxury spending in 2020
while interest in luxury goods has reached historical highs based on WeChat engagement data,” a
CS research notes says.
“We view the China/Europe 35%-45% price differential as being high enough to trigger some
buying euphoria as to when international travel resumes among Chinese consumers,” it adds.
If you do the math taking into account that Chinese demand is around 35% of luxury sales,
you realize how important is this area for the sector.
“Medium-term visibility on Chinese demand appears to be improving,” according to CS.
China’s economy is staging a strong recovery while the pandemic seems to be under control.
The current situation will benefit China-exposed companies and CS reiterates an outperform
rating on LVMH with a 475 euro target price, due to its strong brand desirability in
China and smart marketing.
(Stefano Rebaudo)
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U.S. TAX HIKE LESS LIKELY: A BOON FOR EUROPE INC TOO (0957 GMT)
A gridlock in Washington with Biden president and Republicans retaining the Senate is a
scenario that's becoming more likely and equity investors are starting to appreciate the lower
likelihood of business unfriendly policy.
And the possible benefits for corporates, especially on the tax front, are going to be felt
on both sides of the pond.
"President Trump cut the U.S. corporation tax rate from 35% to 21%. The Democrats were
intending to raise it back to 28%. That prospect now seems less likely, which should help U.S.
equities," say Citi strategists.
"It should also boost non-US companies with significant US businesses. Their relative
performance has flat-lined recently," they added.
Several shares in European companies with big presence in the U.S. are doing relatively well
since it emerged that Trump was doing better than expected by the polls.
In the snapshot you can see today's price moves of a basket of European stocks with high
revenue exposure to North America. The basket, which includes names such as Deutsche Telekom
, UBS, Roche and National Grid, is courtesy of Citi.
(Danilo Masoni)
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OPENING SNAPSHOT: STRONG Q3, TECH RALLY AND MORE UK STIMULUS (0854 GMT)
European bourses are well in positive territory supported by a batch of positive Q3 results
and more stimulus in the UK as the country starts a second national lockdown.
The pan-European STOXX 600 index is up 0.8% to its highest level since Oct. 20,
with the tech sector leading the gains, up 2.5%.
Britain's blue chips are up 0.3% after the Bank of England increased its already
huge bond-buying stimulus by a bigger-than-expected 150 billion pounds to 895 billion pounds.
The BoE kept the bank rate at 0.1%.
In terms of single companies, Milan-listed Tenaris is set for its best day in 9
years after reporting strong Q3 results, it was last up more than 11%.
(Joice Alves)
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ON THE RADAR: BANKS Q3, ARCELORMITTAL, SAINSBURY (0746 GMT)
Looking at futures, it seems like it is going to be a start of the day in the black for
European bourses in a data heavy morning, which also sees investors having to digest a slew of
earnings results.
There is a mixed batch of banking Q3 results with France's third-biggest listed bank Societe
Generale swinging back to profit, as its equity trading business continued to recover
from a weak start to the year; and Italy's second-biggest bank UniCredit posted much
higher than expected net profit as Europe emerged from lockdowns.
In the meantime, Germany's Commerzbank swung to a Q3 loss, as the lender undergoes
a restructuring.
ING Groep, the largest Dutch bank, reported lower than expected pre-tax profit of
1.20 billion euros on declining interest income amid the coronavirus pandemic and said it
intends to cut 1,000 jobs.
British supermarket group Sainsbury also said it could cut 3,500 jobs in a
restructuring.
On a brighter note, ArcelorMittal, the world's largest steelmaker, reported Q3 core
profit above expectations as the easing of lockdowns led to improved demand.
German broadcaster ProSiebenSat.1 Media returned to profit, and reinstated its FY
guidance. Its shares rose 5.7% in premarket trade.
HeidelbergCement, the world's No.2 cement maker, posted a 13% increase in Q3 core
profit, as cost cuts helped it to shrug off the impact of the pandemic and forecast higher
earnings for 2020.
Siemens Gamesa keeps profit target as Q4 uptick fails to stave off loss.
British insurer RSA's underwriting profit rose strongly in the first nine months of
2020 due to improvements the company made to its underwriting strategy.
German reinsurance group Munich Re's net profit declined 77% to 199 million euros
in Q3.
Staying in Germany, specialty chemicals maker Lanxess narrowed its 2020 core
profit outlook range after the coronavirus pandemic, saying it was seeing a pick up in the auto
industry, with China and the U.S. also providing positive stimuli.
While Lufthansa said it booked a net loss of 2 billion euros in Q3.
Sunrise Communications announced plans to boost its 2020 dividend to 4.55 and 4.65
Swiss francs per share, from 4.4 francs, ahead of the Swiss telecommunications firm's takeover
by Liberty Global that will lead to its delisting.
(Joice Alves)
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MORNING CALL: STILL NO U.S. PRESIDENT (0638 GMT)
Futures are pointing to gains for European bourses this morning mirroring Asian shares,
which climbed on the prospect that a gridlock in the U.S. Congress will give a boost to some
industries.
So far, the count shows that Democratic challenger Joe Biden narrowly ahead in key states,
but the risk of a prolonged contested election remains.
Back in Europe, it will be a data heavy morning with EZ and UK PMI data due.
The Bank of England's November monetary policy decision is also on schedule. The Telegraph
newspaper reported that the central bank is considering a move into negative interest rates.
(Joice Alves)
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