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LIVE MARKETS-Where's "the FOMO buy the dip mob" now?

Tue, 29th Sep 2020 08:58

* European shares open lower

* Eyes on Trump-Biden debate after market close

* Brexit talks resume today

* STOXX 600 -0.5%, banks pull back
Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to you by Reuters
stocks reporters. You can share your thoughts with Joice Alves (joice.alves@thomsonreuters.com)
and Julien Ponthus (julien.ponthus@thomsonreuters.com) in London and Stefano Rebaudo
(stefano.rebaudo@thomsonreuters.com) and Danilo Masoni (danilo.masoni@thomsonreuters.com) in
Milan.

WHERE'S "THE FOMO BUY THE DIP MOB" NOW? (0758 GMT)

There was quite a lot of scepticism yesterday on the rationale behind the rally given there
was so little good news to fuel a surge in optimism. Now that markets are done again this
morning, these doubts have somewhat been vindicated.

For Jeffrey Halley at OANDA, the rise had probably more to do with end-quarter repositioning
"than a sudden 'the world is saved' epiphany".

"That appears to have dragged in the FOMO buy the dip mob on a day when nothing materially
changed in the world to justify the moves", he argued, adding that in the U.S. a "session where
the buy everything mob think airlines look cheap is as good a warning sign for the longevity of
the overnight rally".

For David Madden at CMC Markets, "there wasn’t a whole lot to be bullish about" and "the
bullish sentiment in equities yesterday was a little strange given that there wasn’t any
particular news that triggered the buying".

So it seems yesterday's rally was really nothing else than a buy-the-dip episode after the
losses last Friday.

Writing last evening, Chris Beauchamp at IG said it did, in the grand scheme of things, make
some sense.

"Buying in after a healthy correction is better than trying to chase a market that had
rallied in a straight line for the previous three months".

(Julien Ponthus)

*****

OPENING SNAPSHOT: PROFIT TAKING KICKS IN (0724 GMT)

Monday's big bounce Monday was short lived and investors are already taking some profits out
of it at the open here in Europe with the STOXX 600 down 0.5% in early trading.

Even U.S. stocks futures have abandoned initial gains to trade marginally in the red.

Sectors that were yesterday's leaders are today's laggards with banks down more than
1%. Defensive plays, energy and tech are slightly outperforming, although there was no
sector trading in the black.

Meantime, earning updates from the UK are driving top gainers with plumbing parts
distributor Ferguson and retailer B&M surging 6.5% and 4.4% respectively to the
top of the STOXX. Among leading fallers are banks Natixis and Santander.

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

TRUMP-BIDEN DEBATE, BREXIT TALKS, M&A ON OUR RADAR (0650 GMT)

European stock futures are pointing to an unexciting open this morning with markets awaiting
for developments in the U.S. presidential elections and Brexit talks to provide new direction
after yesterday's bank-driven powerful bounce back.

The first Trump-Biden televised debate later on is no doubt the highlight of the day but
that's only going to start after U.S. markets close, while on Brexit investors see scope for a
compromise as trade talks resume today.

EU negotiators have reportedly signalled for the first time that they are willing to begin
work on a joint legal text of a trade agreement with the UK.

Euro STOXX 50 futures are down 0.2%.

On the corporate front it looks pretty quiet so far.

In M&A, sources told Reuters that consumer goods group Reckitt Benckiser Group is
preparing to sell some of its non-core personal care brands which could be worth as much as 1
billion pounds.

A Bloomberg report said Uber is considering a purchase of BMW-Daimler's
ride-hailing joint venture Free Now, while still in automotive, supplier Hella is
selling its front camera software business to Volkswagen for around of 100 million
euros.

Fnac started exclusive talks with Mirage Retail to sell its Dutch unit. [nASN000DR6

Elsewhere there is plenty of news about legal actions. Here are some headlines:

U.S. pension funds sue Allianz after $4 bln in coronavirus losses

LVMH countersues Tiffany in bid to drop $16 bln acquisition

Fiat to pay $9.5 mln U.S. fine for misleading investors on emissions audit -SEC

In earnings, updates from Next Greggs, B&M, and Card Factory
in the UK look good at a first glance.

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

MORNING CALL: BOUNCE BACK LOSING STEAM (0530 GMT)

European shares are set to open slightly higher this morning, building on yesterday's strong
rally that saw the STOXX 600 regional benchmark score its biggest one-day gain since June, up
2.2%, in a powerful rebound led by the battered banking sector.

Futures show modest gains at the moment, suggesting the bounce back is somewhat losing steam
and that investors may soon be needing new catalysts to provide direction.

And there are several fronts to keep an eye on, from debate over stimulus, the U.S.
presidential elections, Brexit talks and the second wave of COVID-19 infections.

Euro STOXX 50 futures are up just 0.1% and still haven't recovered all the ground they lost
last week.

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

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