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Credit Suisse lowers forecasts for bookmakers on gaming duty changes

Thu, 20th Mar 2014 10:42

The share prices of UK bookmakers have taken a hit in the aftermath of George Osborne's 2014 budget, in which he unveiled an increase in gaming machine taxation and an extension of the horse racing betting levy to include offshore operators.Credit Suisse has responded to the news by cutting its forecasts and target prices for London-listed bookies Ladbrokes, William Hill and Paddy Power.The Chancellor announced on Wednesday that from March 1st 2015 the Machine Games Duty (MGD) will rise from 20% to 25%. The Treasury has since clarified that MGD will rise for both category B2 machines (casino games) and B3 machines (slot games), with the bookmakers and analysts having to revise their numbers. Credit Suisse estimates that B2 machines represent around 75% of the UK bookies' machine revenue.Meanwhile, the extension of the horse racing betting levy offshore will affect the online businesses at Ladbrokes, William Hill and Paddy Power. The levy is estimated to represent 10.75% of revenues from bets on UK horse racing.Credit Suisse said: "There is an argument that this constitutes state aid, and it could face a legal challenge. There will be a consultation held with the industry, and no timeframe has been set for implementation, however we include this incremental cost in our forecasts from the second half of 2015. Betfair [(rated 'neutral')] is unaffected as it already voluntarily pays the levy."The bank said that Ladbrokes, rated 'underperform', has the highest exposure to UK retail and will be most affected by these changes. It reduced its earnings estimates by 14% and 17% in 2015 and 2016, respectively, leading to a cut in the target price from 155p to 130p.Forecasts for William Hill and Paddy Power, both rated 'outperform', have been reduced by less. William Hill's target has been lowered from 445p to 400p, while Paddy Power's target has been cut from €65 to €61."We retain our ratings on each stock, with William Hill our top pick in the space," Credit Suisse said.BC
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19 Nov 2010 16:45

Paddy Power non-exec sells stake

Paddy Power non-executive director Brody Sweeney has sold all his shares in the Irish bookie. He sold 5,550 shares at €28.845 (3,403.71p) each, raising just over £135,000. The sale follows the company's trading statement earlier this week. Sweeney is the founder of O'Brien's Irish Sandwich Bars

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17 Nov 2010 13:27

Paddy Power to create more jobs

Irish bookmaker Paddy Power has offered a crumb of comfort for Ireland's ailing economy with the creation of 500 new jobs there. This will increase Paddy Power's employment base in the country to 2,210 jobs, while an expansion in the UK retail network will result in the creation of 810 new jobs. It

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19 May 2010 06:45

Wednesday tips round-up: Prudential, Drax, Britvic

If you can't afford the rights - or are unwilling to stump up the cash - the Telegraph thinks it is best to sell all of your Prudential holding alongside your rights, rather than be diluted out of the dividend and earnings to this extent. Sell up and walk away. Hopefully investors who do this will

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18 May 2010 14:04

Small caps: Paddy Power, Avis Europe, Plexus...

Irish bookie Paddy Power says 2010 has seen very strong revenue performance in online (total gross win (ex Australia) +32%) and good bet volume growth across all channels. "Following a run of adverse sporting results in 2009 the group's sportsbook gross win percentages have returned to normal expe

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2 Mar 2010 17:07

London close: Insurers left behind

A firm start on Wall Street gave fresh heart to UK equities, with financial stocks to the fore, with the notable exception of insurers. Ahead of results tomorrow Standard Chartered was wanted in a buoyant banking sector while elsewhere in the financial sector property groups such as SEGRO and Hamme

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2 Mar 2010 14:13

London afternoon: Footsie consolidates gains

Leading shares consolidated gains over the lunchtime session though it remains a bad day to be invested in the insurance sector. Insurer Prudential is under the cosh again as investors bale out ahead of an expected monster cash call to finance the group's acquisition of AIG's Asian assets. RSA In

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2 Mar 2010 12:08

London midday: Banks bounce back

Although base metal miners have reversed course and are now heading south the FTSE 100 index has added to early gains, helped by a surge in interest in banking shares. Ahead of results tomorrow Standard Chartered is leading the banking sector higher. Part-nationalised lenders Royal Bank of Scotland

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2 Mar 2010 08:40

London open: Steady start for Footsie

Footsie has edge higher in early dealings following a strong showing from Wall Street yesterday. After recent slew of results from the Footsie heavyweights it is the mid-caps day Persimmon completed 8,976 house sales last year and the housebuilder has seen a 7% increase in sales and steady prices s

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2 Mar 2010 07:37

London pre-open: Footsie to edge up

Footsie is expected to edge higher in early dealings following a strong showing from Wall Street yesterday. Persimmon completed 8,976 house sales last year and the housebuilder has seen a 7% increase in sales and steady prices since the start of this year. The number of legal completions was down 1

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2 Mar 2010 07:06

Results starting to turn for Paddy Power

Irish bookmaker Paddy Power's results last year reflected how well the punters did with profits lower despite revenues rising slightly. The bookie says things are more even this year, despite the bad weather hitting the number of events. Profits in 2009 fell 18% to €67.2m including one-offs, despit

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30 Dec 2009 08:37

Wednesday newspaper round-up: Banks, Goldman Sachs, Paddy Power

Britain's banking system is to be investigated by a cross-party group of senior MPs which plans to draw up proposals to put the wider interests of society at the heart of a reformed banking sector. The Future of Banking Commission is to include John McFall, Labour chairman of the Commons Treasury S

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12 Nov 2009 08:48

Paddy Power lifts sales, creates jobs

Bookmaker Paddy Power said it is confident of meeting consensus estimates of earnings per share of 113 cents for 2009 after seeing strong turnover growth since July 1 and announced a deal which could create 250 jobs in Ireland. The firm said it was reaping the benefits of new store openings in the

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27 Aug 2009 05:55

Thursday tips round-up: Tullow, Antofagasta, Costain

Tullow Oil claims 741 million barrels in proven and probable reserves. Adding a very conservative 200 million for the extra potential in Ghana and Uganda gives one billion barrels, which the stock market is currently valuing at $14.5 per barrel. About right, given the Africa risk, but if Tullow does

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26 Aug 2009 16:27

London close: Footsie runs out of steam

Wall Street's inability to hold onto new home sale-inspired gains was the final nail in the coffin for London, bringing to an end a six-day winning streak. Much of the blame lay with the UK-listed miners who hogged the list of largest losers on weaker metal prices. Antofagasta was among the worst

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26 Aug 2009 14:32

London afternoon: RBS buoyed by pension moves

Equity prices are mixed with a lower bias. The Footsie continues to drift lower, weighed down by underperforming resource stocks. Pre-tax profits plunged at Tullow in the first half of the year as the firm felt the pinch of the slide in oil prices. The oil company posted a pre-tax profit of £34.

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