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UPDATE 2-UK's Next upgrades profit forecast on better-than-expected Q3 sales

Wed, 28th Oct 2020 07:23

* Upgrades full-year profit forecast

* Q3 sales rise 2.8%

* Sees weaker final quarter
(Adds CEO comment, shares)

By Paul Sandle

LONDON, Oct 28 (Reuters) - British fashion retailer Next
upgraded its full-year profit guidance for the third
time in as many months on Wednesday after quarterly full-price
sales rose by a better-than-expected 2.8%, although it is
cautious on Christmas trading.

The company raised its pretax profit guidance by 65 million
pounds ($84.7 million) to 365 million pounds, though it expects
fourth-quarter sales to be 8% lower than a year ago due to the
impact of the pandemic on the high street and pressures on
online capacity.

"We think it is unlikely that sales in the fourth quarter
will be as strong as the third quarter," Chief Executive Simon
Wolfson said in an interview.

"As we begin to get into Christmas, even in the better case
we will begin to run into some capacity constraints, both in
retail, where people will avoid very busy shops, and also
online, where we may hit capacity constraints in our
warehouses."

The best case scenario was for flat sales in the final
quarter, with stock levels limiting any further upside, he said.

Even after the upgrade, profit this year will be half the
level of 2019-20.

Shares in Next, which fell to a seven-year low of 33.11
pounds ($43.15) in March, were up 1% at 61.50 pounds in early
trading.

The retailer said the biggest risk was whether England,
Scotland and Northern Ireland would follow the decision by Wales
to shut non-essential retail shops as part of tougher,
short-term lockdown measures.

A widespread two-week lockdown would reduce retail
full-price sales by about 57 million pounds, it said.

Online sale were strong in the quarter, the company said,
showing a rise of 23.1%, offsetting a 17.9% drop in retail.

Home and childrenswear continued to perform well, while
demand for men's and women's formal and occasion clothing
remained weak.

($1 = 0.7673 pounds)
(Reporting by Paul Sandle; Editing by Kate Holton and Mike
Harrison)

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