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LIVE MARKETS-European banks: a crowd is waiting to jump back in

Tue, 29th Sep 2020 11:00

* Eyes on Trump-Biden debate after market close

* Brexit talks resume today

* STOXX 600 -0.5%, banks pull back
Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to you by Reuters
stocks reporters. You can share your thoughts with Joice Alves (joice.alves@thomsonreuters.com)
and Julien Ponthus (julien.ponthus@thomsonreuters.com) in London and Stefano Rebaudo
(stefano.rebaudo@thomsonreuters.com) and Danilo Masoni (danilo.masoni@thomsonreuters.com) in
Milan.

EUROPEAN BANKS: A CROWD IS WAITING TO JUMP BACK IN (1000 GMT)

European banks have been the clear losers of the COVID-19 crisis and with them trading just
a few points from their record lows, it's no wonder so many asset managers won't touch them with
a barge pole.

According to a survey by JP Morgan Cazenove, the number of respondents 'underweight'
European banks has increased to 57% against 42% back in June.

But there's quite a crowd waiting on sidelines to jump back into the banking wagon once it
starts rolling again.

The bank's European Banks Investor Sentiment shows that 45% of investors are likely to
increase their exposure to European banks over the next 12 months and 40% expect to maintain
their asset allocation.

So, what would it take for asset managers to come back?

Two main drivers: the lift of the ECB ban on dividend (which 82% expect by year end) and a
COVID-19 vaccine being made available.

Despite all the M&A action in domestic markets, cross-border deals aren't expected to
materialise anytime soon.

With the return of dividends and pay-outs being identified as the key driver of a future
rebound, JP Morgan believes it's best to bet on lenders with strong balance sheets.

"The conclusion of our analysis lead us to stick with high-quality well capitalised banks
that generate high amounts of organic capital on an annual basis".

Looking beyond the possible dividend and vaccine catalysts though, the long term structural
challenges of the sector remain.

75% of respondents believe return on tangible equity will remain below 8% in 2022.

(Julien Ponthus and Thyagaraju Adinarayan)

*****

CONTACTLESS AFTER COVID-19 (0811 GMT)

Biometric passports that open airport barriers, credit cards to wave at supermarket tills,
and motion-operated light switches - even before COVID-19 hit, contactless life was becoming
commonplace.

Now though the pandemic is enabling what Citi describes "a paradigm shift to a contactless
economy", speeding up innovations such as parcel deliveries by robots and speech-operated lift
buttons in China. So what's next?

First, growth. The contactless economy, Citi predicts in a recent report, will double in
size by 2024 to $300 billion as "devices will allow seamless interactions" via voice commands or
gesture control.

"Smart devices and smart robots will increasingly be adopted both in the home and the
workplace," according to the report, which notes innovations such as AI Computer Vision (AICV)
-- being trialled by Amazon -- where a shopper scans an app before entering a store and then is
charged for purchases, based on weight sensors and cameras monitoring what's been taken.

Winners in the contactless world should be firms specialising in AI or artificial
intelligence (enabled by computer vision, voice recognition and language processing), sensor
technologies and of course semiconductors, the driver of AI.

Dominant companies could enjoy an annual $50 billion supply chain opportunity, it predicts.

The conglomerates set to capitalise on the touchless theme? Well, a lot of the usual names
-- Apple, Alphabet, JD.com, Logitech, Sony, Chroma, Texas Instruments, TSMC and Samsung.

There will be losers too in this brave new world.

At risk are companies that fail the tech transition test and the millions of jobs stuck in
the old economy. The question is whether tech can also find a way to alleviate their pain.

(Sujata Rao)

*****

WHERE'S "THE FOMO BUY THE DIP MOB" NOW? (0758 GMT)

There was quite a lot of scepticism yesterday on the rationale behind the rally given there
was so little good news to fuel a surge in optimism. Now that markets are done again this
morning, these doubts have somewhat been vindicated.

For Jeffrey Halley at OANDA, the rise had probably more to do with end-quarter repositioning
"than a sudden 'the world is saved' epiphany".

"That appears to have dragged in the FOMO buy the dip mob on a day when nothing materially
changed in the world to justify the moves", he argued, adding that in the U.S. a "session where
the buy everything mob think airlines look cheap is as good a warning sign for the longevity of
the overnight rally".

For David Madden at CMC Markets, "there wasn’t a whole lot to be bullish about" and "the
bullish sentiment in equities yesterday was a little strange given that there wasn’t any
particular news that triggered the buying".

So it seems yesterday's rally was really nothing else than a buy-the-dip episode after the
losses last Friday.

Writing last evening, Chris Beauchamp at IG said it did, in the grand scheme of things, make
some sense.

"Buying in after a healthy correction is better than trying to chase a market that had
rallied in a straight line for the previous three months".

(Julien Ponthus)

*****

OPENING SNAPSHOT: PROFIT TAKING KICKS IN (0724 GMT)

Monday's big bounce Monday was short lived and investors are already taking some profits out
of it at the open here in Europe with the STOXX 600 down 0.5% in early trading.

Even U.S. stocks futures have abandoned initial gains to trade marginally in the red.

Sectors that were yesterday's leaders are today's laggards with banks down more than
1%. Defensive plays, energy and tech are slightly outperforming, although there was no
sector trading in the black.

Meantime, earning updates from the UK are driving top gainers with plumbing parts
distributor Ferguson and retailer B&M surging 6.5% and 4.4% respectively to the
top of the STOXX. Among leading fallers are banks Natixis and Santander.

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

TRUMP-BIDEN DEBATE, BREXIT TALKS, M&A ON OUR RADAR (0650 GMT)

European stock futures are pointing to an unexciting open this morning with markets awaiting
for developments in the U.S. presidential elections and Brexit talks to provide new direction
after yesterday's bank-driven powerful bounce back.

The first Trump-Biden televised debate later on is no doubt the highlight of the day but
that's only going to start after U.S. markets close, while on Brexit investors see scope for a
compromise as trade talks resume today.

EU negotiators have reportedly signalled for the first time that they are willing to begin
work on a joint legal text of a trade agreement with the UK.

Euro STOXX 50 futures are down 0.2%.

On the corporate front it looks pretty quiet so far.

In M&A, sources told Reuters that consumer goods group Reckitt Benckiser Group is
preparing to sell some of its non-core personal care brands which could be worth as much as 1
billion pounds.

A Bloomberg report said Uber is considering a purchase of BMW-Daimler's
ride-hailing joint venture Free Now, while still in automotive, supplier Hella is
selling its front camera software business to Volkswagen for around of 100 million
euros.

Fnac started exclusive talks with Mirage Retail to sell its Dutch unit. [nASN000DR6

Elsewhere there is plenty of news about legal actions. Here are some headlines:

U.S. pension funds sue Allianz after $4 bln in coronavirus losses

LVMH countersues Tiffany in bid to drop $16 bln acquisition

Fiat to pay $9.5 mln U.S. fine for misleading investors on emissions audit -SEC

In earnings, updates from Next Greggs, B&M, and Card Factory
in the UK look good at a first glance.

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

MORNING CALL: BOUNCE BACK LOSING STEAM (0530 GMT)

European shares are set to open slightly higher this morning, building on yesterday's strong
rally that saw the STOXX 600 regional benchmark score its biggest one-day gain since June, up
2.2%, in a powerful rebound led by the battered banking sector.

Futures show modest gains at the moment, suggesting the bounce back is somewhat losing steam
and that investors may soon be needing new catalysts to provide direction.

And there are several fronts to keep an eye on, from debate over stimulus, the U.S.
presidential elections, Brexit talks and the second wave of COVID-19 infections.

Euro STOXX 50 futures are up just 0.1% and still haven't recovered all the ground they lost
last week.

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

More News
15 Aug 2023 08:52

Britain's M&S raises profit outlook after strong trading

Now expects profit growth in 2023-24 year

*

Read more
15 Aug 2023 08:16

Britain's M&S raises profit outlook after strong trading

Now expects profit growth in 2023-24 year

*

Read more
4 Aug 2023 17:09

IN BRIEF: Next finance director sells shares worth GPB380,000

Next PLC - Leicester-based clothing and homewares retailer - Group Finance Director Amanda James sells 5,500 shares at price of GBP69.03 each for a total of GBP379,665 on Friday. Jeff James, a person associated with Amanda James, also sells 5,500 shares at a price of GBP69.03 each for a total of GBP379,665 on Friday.

Read more
4 Aug 2023 09:39

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: Jefferies raises John Wood to 'buy'

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Friday morning and Thursday:

Read more
3 Aug 2023 12:17

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: Pound under pressure after BoE hike

(Alliance News) - European equities went into Thursday afternoon on the back foot, extending losses suffered on Wednesday following a US credit rating cut from Fitch, while the pound struggled to make headway after the Bank of England raised rates by 25 basis points, as expected.

Read more
3 Aug 2023 08:33

Next ups annual guidance on positive full-price sales performance

(Alliance News) - Next PLC on Thursday raised its full-year profit guidance by GBP10 million amid a solid full-price sales performance in the first half of its financial year.

Read more
3 Aug 2023 08:08

Next lifts FY guidance after strong rise in Q2 full-price sales

(Sharecast News) - UK fashion retailer Next raised annual profit forecasts on Thursday after strong second-quarter full-price sales and better-than-expected clearances of summer stock.

Read more
27 Jul 2023 15:40

UK earnings, trading statements calendar - next 7 days

Friday 28 July 
AstraZeneca PLCHalf Year Results
AIB Group PLCHalf Year Results
IMI PLCHalf Year Results
Impellam Group PLCHalf Year Results
International Consolidated Airlines Group SAHalf Year Results
Intertek Group PLCHalf Year Results
Jardine Matheson Holdings LtdHalf Year Results
NatWest Group PLCHalf Year Results
PayPoint PLCFull Year Results
PayPoint PLCTrading Statement
Rightmove PLCHalf Year Results
Standard Chartered PLCHalf Year Results
Taylor Maritime Investments LtdTrading Statement
Vanquis Banking Group PLCHalf Year Results
YouGov PLCTrading Statement
Monday 31 July 
Bank of Ireland Group PLCHalf Year Results
GlobalData PLCHalf Year Results
Hutchmed (China) LtdHalf Year Results
Pearson PLCHalf Year Results
Pod Point Group Holdings PLCHalf Year Results
Quartix Technologies PLCHalf Year Results
Ricardo PLCTrading Statement
Senior PLCHalf Year Results
Spectris PLCHalf Year Results
Tuesday 1 August 
BP PLCHalf Year Results
Coats Group PLCHalf Year Results
Diageo PLCFull Year Results
Domino's Pizza Group PLCHalf Year Results
Filtronic PLCFull Year Results
Fresnillo PLCHalf Year Results
Greggs PLCHalf Year Results
HSBC Holdings PLCHalf Year Results
International Personal Finance PLCHalf Year Results
Keller Group PLCHalf Year Results
Man Group PLCHalf Year Results
Metro Bank PLCHalf Year Results
NWF Group PLCFull Year Results
Robert Walters PLCHalf Year Results
Staffline Group PLCHalf Year Results
System1 Group PLCFull Year Results
Travis Perkins PLCHalf Year Results
Virgin Wines UK PLCTrading Statement
Weir Group PLCHalf Year Results
XP Power LtdHalf Year Results
Wednesday 2 August 
BAE Systems PLCHalf Year Results
ConvaTec Group PLCHalf Year Results
Direct Line Insurance Group PLCHalf Year Results
Endeavour Mining PLCHalf Year Results
Ferrexpo PLCHalf Year Results
Haleon PLCHalf Year Results
Genel Energy PLCHalf Year Results
Ibstock PLCHalf Year Results
IP Group PLCHalf Year Results
Kerry Group PLCHalf Year Results
Permanent TSB Group Holdings PLCHalf Year Results
Smurfit Kappa Group PLCHalf Year Results
Spirent Communications PLCHalf Year Results
Taylor Wimpey PLCHalf Year Results
Virgin Money UK PLCTrading Statement
Thursday 3 August 
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLCHalf Year Results
Helios Towers PLCHalf Year Results
Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLCHalf Year Results
Irish Residential Properties REIT PLCHalf Year Results
London Stock Exchange Group PLCHalf Year Results
Mears Group PLCHalf Year Results
Mondi PLCTrading Statement
Morgan Sindall Group PLCHalf Year Results
Next PLCTrading Statement
Omega Diagnostics Group PLCFull Year Results
Pantheon International PLCFull Year Results
Pets At Home Group PLCQ1 Results
Rolls-Royce Holdings PLCHalf Year Results
ScS Group PLCTrading Statement
Serco Group PLCHalf Year Results
Shaftesbury Capital PLCHalf Year Results
Smith & Nephew PLCHalf Year Results
Tritax Big Box REIT PLCHalf Year Results
TT Electronics PLCHalf Year Results
Walker Crips Group PLCFull Year Results
Wizz Air Holdings PLCQ1 Results
  
Copyright 2023 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

Read more
25 Jul 2023 15:46

UK dividends calendar - next 7 days

Wednesday 26 July 
Airtel Africa PLCdividend payment date
Baillie Gifford China Growth Trust PLCdividend payment date
Camellia PLCdividend payment date
Ecora Resources PLCdividend payment date
Worldwide Healthcare Trust PLCdividend payment date
Thursday 27 July 
abrdn Asian Income Fund Ltdex-dividend payment date
AEW UK REIT PLCex-dividend payment date
Bankers Investment Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
Bellevue Healthcare Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
BlackRock Throgmorton Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
Bloomsbury Publishing PLCex-dividend payment date
City of London Investment Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
Compass Group PLCdividend payment date
CQS Natural Resources Growth & Income PLCex-dividend payment date
CQS New City High Yield Fund Ltdex-dividend payment date
Diverse Income Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
Ecofin Global Utilities & Infrastructure Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
Fidelity China Special Situations PLCdividend payment date
Fuller, Smith & Turner PLCdividend payment date
GCP Asset Backed Income Fund Ltdex-dividend payment date
Henderson Far East Income Ltdex-dividend payment date
Henderson International Income Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
International Biotechnology Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
JPMorgan Asia Growth & Income PLCex-dividend payment date
JPMorgan China Growth & Income PLCex-dividend payment date
JPMorgan Claverhouse Investment Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
Mears Group PLCdividend payment date
MoneySupermarket.com Group PLCex-dividend payment date
Monks Investment Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
Nexteq PLCex-dividend payment date
PayPoint PLCex-dividend payment date
Qinetiq Group PLCex-dividend payment date
Redcentric PLCex-dividend payment date
Serica Energy PLCdividend payment date
Smart Metering Systems PLCdividend payment date
Sportech PLCex-dividend payment date
SSE PLCex-dividend payment date
Tribal Group PLCdividend payment date
VPC Specialty Lending Investments PLCdividend payment date
Friday 28 July 
3i Group PLCdividend payment date
abrdn Private Equity Opportunities Trust PLCdividend payment date
abrdn Smaller Companies Income Trust PLCdividend payment date
Barings Emerging EMEA Opportunities PLCdividend payment date
Big Yellow Group PLCdividend payment date
British Land Co PLCdividend payment date
Edinburgh Investment Trust PLCdividend payment date
Gooch & Housego PLCdividend payment date
Helical PLCdividend payment date
Henderson High Income Trust PLCdividend payment date
Hipgnosis Songs Fund Ltddividend payment date
JPMorgan Global Emerging Markets Income Trust PLCdividend payment date
Martin Currie Global Portfolio Trust PLCdividend payment date
Paragon Banking Group PLCdividend payment date
Personal Assets Trust PLCspecial dividend payment date
Personal Assets Trust PLCdividend payment date
Polar Capital Holdings PLCdividend payment date
Premier Foods PLCdividend payment date
Real Estate Credit Investments Ltddividend payment date
Schroder Income Growth Fund PLCdividend payment date
Shires Income PLCdividend payment date
Troy Income & Growth Trust PLCdividend payment date
Vertu Motors PLCdividend payment date
Monday 31 July 
CT Private Equity Trust PLCdividend payment date
European Assets Trust PLCdividend payment date
Lowland Investment Co PLCdividend payment date
Tuesday 1 August 
discoverIE Group PLCdividend payment date
F&C Investment Trust PLCdividend payment date
Johnson Matthey PLCdividend payment date
Mercantile Investment Trust PLCdividend payment date
Next PLCdividend payment date
TR Property Investment Trust PLCdividend payment date
United Utilities Group PLCdividend payment date
  
Copyright 2023 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

Read more
21 Jul 2023 09:33

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: Jefferies raises Hargreaves Lansdown to 'buy'

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Friday morning:

Read more
21 Jul 2023 07:43

LONDON BRIEFING: UK retail sales beat forecasts with 0.7% jump in June

(Alliance News) - Stocks in London are expected to edge up at Friday's open, after better-than-expected retail sales data.

Read more
11 Jul 2023 17:09

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: Pay data lifts pound; China cheer boosts stocks

(Alliance News) - Stock prices in London closed largely higher on Tuesday, despite the FTSE 100 spending most of the day in the red, weighed down by a UK jobs data-boosted pound.

Read more
29 Jun 2023 15:48

UK dividends calendar - next 7 days

Friday 30 June 
AJ Bell PLCdividend payment date
Alliance Trust PLCdividend payment date
Atlantis Japan Growth Fund Ltddividend payment date
CT Property Trust Ltddividend payment date
CT UK Capital & Income Investment Trust PLCdividend payment date
Develop North PLCdividend payment date
Digital 9 Infrastructure PLCdividend payment date
Diversified Energy Co PLCdividend payment date
Downing Renewables & Infrastructure Trust PLCdividend payment date
Energean PLCdividend payment date
Essentra PLCdividend payment date
FDM Group Holdings PLCdividend payment date
Henderson Diversified Income Trust PLCdividend payment date
HICL Infrastructure PLCdividend payment date
Hilton Food Group PLCdividend payment date
Imperial Brands PLCdividend payment date
IntegraFin Holdings PLCdividend payment date
JTC PLCdividend payment date
Keywords Studios PLCdividend payment date
Momentum Multi-Asset Value Trust PLCdividend payment date
NextEnergy Solar Fund Ltddividend payment date
Pollen Street PLCdividend payment date
Premier Miton Global Renewables Trust PLCdividend payment date
RM Infrastructure Income PLCdividend payment date
Schroder Real Estate Investment Trust Ltddividend payment date
SDCL Energy Efficiency Income Trust PLCdividend payment date
Spectris PLCdividend payment date
Temple Bar Investment Trust PLCdividend payment date
Triple Point Social Housing REIT PLCdividend payment date
UP Global Sourcing Holdings PLCdividend payment date
VH Global Sustainable Energy Opportunities PLCdividend payment date
Watkin Jones PLCdividend payment date
Monday 3 July 
Bellway PLCdividend payment date
BlackRock Sustainable American Income Trust PLCdividend payment date
Grainger PLCdividend payment date
Kingfisher PLCdividend payment date
Marshalls PLCdividend payment date
Morgan Advanced Materials PLCdividend payment date
Victrex PLCdividend payment date
Tuesday 4 July 
Aurora Investment Trust PLCdividend payment date
Bunzl PLCdividend payment date
Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust PLCdividend payment date
Wednesday 5 July 
Balfour Beatty PLCdividend payment date
Britvic PLCdividend payment date
Hollywood Bowl Group PLCdividend payment date
Thursday 6 July 
abrdn Diversified Income & Growth PLCdividend payment date
Big Yellow Group PLCex-dividend payment date
CC Japan Income & Growth Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
CT Private Equity Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
CT UK High Income Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
European Assets Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
Global Smaller Companies Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
ICG Enterprise Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
JD Sports Fashion PLCex-dividend payment date
Law Debenture Corp PLCdividend payment date
Martin Currie Global Portfolio Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
Mears Group PLCex-dividend payment date
Mountview Estates PLCex-dividend payment date
Murray International Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
Next 15 Group PLCex-dividend payment date
Next PLCex-dividend payment date
Pacific Assets Trust PLCdividend payment date
Palace Capital PLCex-dividend payment date
Paragon Banking Group PLCex-dividend payment date
Polar Capital Holdings PLCex-dividend payment date
Premier Miton Group PLCex-dividend payment date
Primary Health Properties PLCex-dividend payment date
Real Estate Credit Investments Ltdex-dividend payment date
Safestore Holdings PLCex-dividend payment date
Schroder Income Growth Fund PLCex-dividend payment date
Shires Income PLCex-dividend payment date
Smart Metering Systems PLCex-dividend payment date
Smiths News PLCdividend payment date
Tatton Asset Management PLCex-dividend payment date
Value and Indexed Property Income Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
VPC Specialty Lending Investments PLCex-dividend payment date
Workspace Group PLCex-dividend payment date
  
Copyright 2023 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

Read more
29 Jun 2023 12:47

H&M to grow third-party brand strategy as online rivalry intensifies

STOCKHOLM, June 29 (Reuters) - H&M plans to sell more third-party brands online and in stores, CEO Helena Helmersson said on Thursday, as one of the world's top fashion retailers ramps up its effort to take on e-commerce rivals.

Read more
26 Jun 2023 09:47

AB Foods raises profit outlook as Primark gets summer boost

Sees 2022-23 profit 'moderately ahead' of previous year

*

Read more

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