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Countrywide losses widen after Q4 housing market slowdown

Thu, 07th Mar 2019 09:00

(Sharecast News) - Countrywide shares were under the cosh on Thursday after the estate agent said annual losses widened as the housing market slowed in the fourth quarter on the back of Brexit uncertainty and warned that first-half earnings would take a hit.In the year to the end of December 2018, statutory losses widened to £218.2m from £207.3m in 2017, with adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation down 50% to £32.7m and income 7% lower at £627.1m.Executive chairman Peter Long said: "We have been encouraged by the progress made in 2018 in resetting the business as part of our return to growth strategy. The principles within 'back to basics' in sales and lettings resulted in growth in the register and the sales pipeline in the UK, coupled with an increase in market share of listings."We encountered market weakness in Q4 due to the further uncertainties surrounding Brexit which is affecting both our sector and consumer confidence as a whole. These headwinds have continued into 2019. As a result, we are experiencing further slow-down in residential and commercial property transactions particularly in London and the South, which will affect our H1 EBITDA by some £3-£5m."The group said that while full-year EBITDA is expected to be broadly in line with 2018, it is contingent on recovering the first-half shortfall in its traditionally stronger second half. "As a group we are in a stronger position than we have been for some considerable time with sound business fundamentals and, despite the difficult market conditions we are facing, we remain confident in delivering our turnaround," said Long.At 1025 GMT, the shares were down 9.1% to 9.55p.Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, said the current environment, with Brexit uncertainty weighing on transactions, would test a company in the rudest health let alone one which is beset by significant structural and cyclical problems."Even hitting today's reduced guidance requires a significant rebound in the second half of the year - often a situation which results in another profit warning if the shortfall can't be made up."The company outlined a three-year turnaround plan last year, so there is still time left, but patience from the market looks to be rather thin on the ground."Meanwhile, Neil Wilson, chief market analyst at Markets.com, said: "The fact is properties are not coming on the market as quickly, prices are depressed and estate agents face massive structural forces in the form of online - principally the likes of Purple Bricks which are grabbing market share."But the good news should be that if and when the clouds of uncertainty over the economy disperse, market conditions should look more favourable again. Market chatter seems likely to focus again on a possible bid, or merger to shore things up, particularly since net debt was brought down."Peel Hunt cut its recommendation on the shares to 'sell' from 'hold' following the results and reduced the target price to 5p from 12p, as it downgraded its FY19 EBITDA forecast to £30m from £43m."While the 2018 results were in line with previous guidance, the trading backdrop remains challenging. Transaction volumes in both residential and commercial markets are under pressure and guidance for FY19 has been lowered significantly. Generating flat EBITDA in FY19 is reliant on a recovery in H2, which given the current economic uncertainty could be a bridge too far. Net debt is also unlikely to reduce in the current year and covenants begin to tighten from September."
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25 Oct 2016 08:52

Countrywide slumps on Jefferies downgrade

(ShareCast News) - Countrywide was under the cosh on Tuesday as Jefferies downgraded the stock to 'hold' from 'buy' and slashed the price target to 180p from 300p. The bank cut its calendar year 2016 earnings per share estimate by 24% and its estimate for 2017 by 31% on the back of weak housing t

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22 Sep 2016 14:14

Countrywide shares drop on Zoopla stake sale

(ShareCast News) - Shares in Countrywide fell on Thursday after the FTSE 250 estate agency group said it has sold its remaining stake in property website Zoopla. It sold just over 9.2m shares at an average price of £3.17 between 9 August and 21 September, giving gross proceeds of £29.2m. Countrywid

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22 Sep 2016 13:35

Thursday broker round-up

(ShareCast News) - Dunelm: HSBC starts coverage at buy with a target price of 1000p. Brown N Group: UBS keeps at neutral, 190p target. Tesco: Barclays keeps at neutral with a 215p target. Associated British Foods: Credit Suisse reiterates outperform with a 3550p target. BBA Aviation: Barclays kee

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6 Sep 2016 10:07

Tuesday broker round-up

(ShareCast News) - Marks & Spencer: Goldman Sachs reiterates sell with a target price of 315p. Bunzl: RBC maintains underperf orm with a 1950p target. Mediclinic: UBS keeps at buy with a 1170p target. Ultra Electronic: Berenberg reiterat es buy with a 2000p target. Associated British Foods: Goldm

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23 Aug 2016 14:32

FTSE 250 movers: JRP Group, housing stocks rally

(ShareCast News) - The FTSE 250 gained 0.78% to 18,010.36 points on Tuesday afternoon. JRP Group was the biggest riser on London's second tier index after the financial services group said trading to the end of July since its update on 11 May continued in line with expectations. The company said it

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28 Jul 2016 13:34

Broker tips: Cairn Energy, Lancashire, Countrywide

(ShareCast News) - Cairn Energy shares rose on Thursday as RBC Capital Markets raised its rating on the stock to 'outperform' from 'sector perform' and reiterated a target price of 260p. "We view the recent share price weakness as an opportunity to take a position in Cairn ahead of the first half re

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28 Jul 2016 10:48

Numis upgrades Countrywide to 'add' from 'hold'

(ShareCast News) - Countrywide's shares jumped on Thursday as Numis upgraded its rating to 'add' from 'hold' despite a profit warning from the real estate agent. The company warned that 2016 earnings will be lower this year, as commercial and London residential transactions have stalled since Britai

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28 Jul 2016 10:08

Countrywide rebounds despite interim profit squeeze post-Brexit

(ShareCast News) - Countrywide said the slowdown in the housing market has worsened since June's Brexit vote, sending half-year profits in the estate agent shooting down but lifting its shares as investors had feared it would be even worse. Directors warned that full year earnings before interest, t

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21 Jul 2016 15:03

UK Earnings, Trading Statements Calendar - Next 7 Days

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13 Jul 2016 09:21

UBS launches coverage of UK estate agents

(ShareCast News) - UBS initiated coverage of the UK estate agent sector on Wednesday, with Foxtons and Savills at 'buy', Countrywide at 'neutral' and Purplebricks at 'sell'. The Swiss bank, which expects UK wide housing transactions to fall 6% this year and 5% the next - with a 10 drop in London in

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13 Jul 2016 08:33

BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: UBS Says Buy Foxtons And Sell Purplebricks

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13 Jul 2016 07:25

LONDON BRIEFING: Pound And Poundland Gain As May Set To Enter No 10

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29 Jun 2016 14:39

UPDATE: BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: Buy Wolseley, Sell Berkeley - Goldman

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28 Jun 2016 16:16

Tuesday broker round-up:

(ShareCast News) - Just Eat: Goldman Sachs reiterates buy with a target price of 670p. G4S: Credit Suisse keeps at outperform with a 210p target. Bellway: Goldman Sachs keeps at neutral with a target price of 1715p. Northgate: Numis reiterates to buy with a target of 500p. Babcock: Credit Suisse

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28 Jun 2016 09:24

Goldman adjusts ratings on UK housebuilders after Brexit

(ShareCast News) - Following the UK's decision to leave the European Union, Goldman Sachs expects new build volumes in UK housing to drop 10% next year, versus a previous forecast of 7% growth and house prices to fall by 2%/5% in 2016/17. As far as the UK economy is concerned, the bank has cut its 2

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